Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Berrettini will fight against each other in the quarter of the Grand Prix Hassan II for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.54
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Sonego vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 6th time that Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 6-7(5) 6-3 7-6(7) 6-3 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61, Lorenzo reached the quarter after beating Sumit Nagal 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Nagal, Sonego recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Sonego scored 80 points vs Nagal’s 79. Lorenzo was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sonego bagged 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was very effective on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Sonego broke Nagal twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Sonego has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (311-242). 1-0 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sonego has a composed 159-103 match record in the last years on clay.
The Italian has an overall 5-9 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marrakech
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-3 | 4-2 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 135, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-1 and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Italian defeated Munar Clar (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match Berrettini scored 86 points vs Munar Clar’s 85. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Berrettini managed to score 8 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 68% of his first serves in, winning 74% (43/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Berrettini broke Munar Clar 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Matteo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Phoenix Challenger.
Matteo has a composed 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 44 |
| Pts | 80-79 | 149-127 |
| Total Points | 159 | 276 |
| Winners | 34 | 64 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Sonego played 1 match while Berrettini competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Sonego dropped 1 set, while Matteo Berrettini dropped 1 set. Sonego has played 2 set(s) less than Berrettini (3 vs 5). Therefore, Sonego played 18 games less than Berrettini. Sonego scored 34 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 64 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 43/74 | 83/130 |
| %1st in | 58% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 64/83 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 22/47 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 47% |
Sonego scored 4 aces . Berrettini scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Sonego won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 9 |
| Converted | 2/8 | 9/22 |
| % Converted | 25% | 41% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 6 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Italian broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sonego | |||
| R2 Nagal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 80-79 | 80-79 | |
| Total points | 159 | 159 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/74 | 43/74 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 34/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Shevchenko |
R2 Munar Clar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 29 | 44 | |
| pts | 63-42 | 86-85 | 149-127 | |
| Total points | 105 | 171 | 276 | |
| Winners | 21 | 43 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 50% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/45 | 58/85 | 83/130 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 68% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 43/58 | 64/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 12/27 | 22/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 44% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/13 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 31% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 4/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 167% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWLW
LWWWWWLLWW 
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