Luca Nardi and Pierre-Hugues Herbert will face off in the final of the Naples Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CAMPO D’AVALOS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.54
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -> 2.375

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert

There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Pierre-Hugues Herbert since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Luca Nardi

Ranked no. 96 (career-high), Luca got to the final after beating Jozef Kovalik 6-3 6-3, Matteo Martineau 7-6⁴ 6-1, Matteo Gigante 4-6 6-4 6-1 and Francesco Passaro 3-6 7-5 6-1

.

In the semifinal against Passaro, Nardi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-1). During the match, Nardi scored 94 points vs Passaro’s 85. Luca was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nardi bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 65% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. Nardi broke Passaro 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luca has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Nardi has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (134-101). 4-0 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nardi has an overall55-42 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Chennai Challenger.

The Italian has an overall 13-8 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Naples Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Ranked no. 160, Herbert reached the final after beating Raul Brancaccio 3-6 7-5 6-0, Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 3-6 6-3, Arthur Gea 6-7⁴ 6-4 6-4 and Corentin Moutet 4-6 6-3 6-1.

In the semifinal against Moutet, Pierre-Hugues recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Herbert scored 83 points vs Moutet’s 69. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Herbert recorded 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Pierre-Hugues Herbert was very effective on serve to win 75% (39/52) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Herbert was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Moutet 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Quimper Challenger where he overcame Duje Ajdukovic in the final 6-3 6-2.

The French player has a composed 17-6 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nardi	Herbert
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	12
Tot Games	93	114
Pts	334-275	386-344
Total Points	609	730
Winners	138	168
%Winners	41%	44%

Both Nardi and Herbert played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luca Nardi surrendered 2 sets, while Pierre-Hugues Herbert conceded 4 sets. Nardi has played 2 set(s) less than Herbert (10 vs 12). Therefore, Nardi played 21 games less than Herbert. The Italian scored 138 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Pierre-Hugues scored 168 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nardi	Herbert
Aces	4	24
Avg per match	1	6
1st in	199/308	233/380
%1st in	65%	61%
1st pts	138/199	168/233
%1st pts	69%	72%
2nd pts	57/109	71/147
%2nd pts	52%	48%

Nardi scored 4 aces (1 per match). Herbert blasted 24 aces (6 per match). Nardi won 69% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Herbert won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nardi	Herbert
Won	18	19
Converted	18/36	19/35
% Converted	50%	54%
Conceded	29	34
Saved	20	23
% Saved	69%	68%
Times Broken	9	11

Luca broke his opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. Nardi lost his serve 9 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Herbert broke his opponents 19 times with a 54% conversion rate. Herbert conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Nardi
	R1 Kovalik	R2 Martineau	1/4 Gigante	1/2 Passaro	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	7-64 6-1	4-6 6-4 6-1	3-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	18	20	27	28	93
pts	75-64	77-54	88-72	94-85	334-275
Total points	139	131	160	179	609
Winners	28	33	33	44	138
%Winners	37%	43%	38%	47%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	0	2	4
Double Faults	3	1	3	2	9
1st in	42/65	41/63	51/80	65/100	199/308
% 1st in	65%	65%	64%	65%	65%
1st pts	28/42	33/41	33/51	44/65	138/199
% 1st pts	67%	80%	65%	68%	69%
2nd pts	10/23	12/22	16/29	19/35	57/109
% 2nd pts	43%	55%	55%	54%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	3	6	4	18
Converted	5/11	3/8	6/9	4/8	18/36
Converted %	45%	38%	67%	50%	50%
Conceded	6	5	9	9	29
Saved	4/6	4/5	5/9	7/9	20
Saved %	67%	80%	56%	78%	70%
Times Broken	2	1	4	2	9

Herbert
	R1 Brancaccio	R2 Maestrelli	1/4 Gea	1/2 Moutet	Total
Score	3-6 7-5 6-0	6-4 3-6 6-3	6-74 6-4 6-4	4-6 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	3	3	12
Tot Games	27	28	33	26	114
pts	104-91	97-96	102-88	83-69	386-344
Total points	195	193	190	152	730
Winners	39	41	49	39	168
%Winners	38%	42%	48%	47%	44%
SERVE
Aces	8	5	9	2	24
Double Faults	2	7	4	4	17
1st in	60/103	59/107	62/88	52/82	233/380
% 1st in	58%	55%	70%	63%	61%
1st pts	39/60	41/59	49/62	39/52	168/233
% 1st pts	65%	69%	79%	75%	72%
2nd pts	20/43	18/48	17/26	16/30	71/147
% 2nd pts	47%	38%	65%	53%	48%
Breaks
Won	6	6	3	4	19
Converted	6/15	6/11	3/5	4/4	19/35
Converted %	40%	55%	60%	100%	54%
Conceded	15	13	1	5	34
Saved	11/15	8/13	0/1	4/5	23
Saved %	73%	62%	0%	80%	54%
Times Broken	4	5	1	1	11

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – (0-0) – H2H and prediction