Luca Nardi and Pierre-Hugues Herbert will face off in the final of the Naples Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CAMPO D’AVALOS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.54
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert
There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Pierre-Hugues Herbert since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 96 (career-high), Luca got to the final after beating Jozef Kovalik 6-3 6-3, Matteo Martineau 7-64 6-1, Matteo Gigante 4-6 6-4 6-1 and Francesco Passaro 3-6 7-5 6-1.
In the semifinal against Passaro, Nardi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-1). During the match, Nardi scored 94 points vs Passaro’s 85. Luca was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nardi bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 65% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. Nardi broke Passaro 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luca has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Nardi has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (134-101). 4-0 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nardi has an overall55-42 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Chennai Challenger.
The Italian has an overall 13-8 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Naples Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
17 - 7win/loss
140
36
LLLLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 2-4 | 5-4 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-13 | 4-3 | 7-4 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 160, Herbert reached the final after beating Raul Brancaccio 3-6 7-5 6-0, Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 3-6 6-3, Arthur Gea 6-74 6-4 6-4 and Corentin Moutet 4-6 6-3 6-1.
In the semifinal against Moutet, Pierre-Hugues recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Herbert scored 83 points vs Moutet’s 69. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Herbert recorded 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Pierre-Hugues Herbert was very effective on serve to win 75% (39/52) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Herbert was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Moutet 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Quimper Challenger where he overcame Duje Ajdukovic in the final 6-3 6-2.
The French player has a composed 17-6 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 114 |
| Pts | 334-275 | 386-344 |
| Total Points | 609 | 730 |
| Winners | 138 | 168 |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% |
Both Nardi and Herbert played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luca Nardi surrendered 2 sets, while Pierre-Hugues Herbert conceded 4 sets. Nardi has played 2 set(s) less than Herbert (10 vs 12). Therefore, Nardi played 21 games less than Herbert. The Italian scored 138 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Pierre-Hugues scored 168 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6 |
| 1st in | 199/308 | 233/380 |
| %1st in | 65% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 138/199 | 168/233 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 57/109 | 71/147 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 48% |
Nardi scored 4 aces (1 per match). Herbert blasted 24 aces (6 per match). Nardi won 69% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Herbert won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 19 |
| Converted | 18/36 | 19/35 |
| % Converted | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded | 29 | 34 |
| Saved | 20 | 23 |
| % Saved | 69% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 11 |
Luca broke his opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. Nardi lost his serve 9 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Herbert broke his opponents 19 times with a 54% conversion rate. Herbert conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nardi | ||||||
| R1 Kovalik |
R2 Martineau |
1/4 Gigante |
1/2 Passaro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-64 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | 3-6 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 27 | 28 | 93 | |
| pts | 75-64 | 77-54 | 88-72 | 94-85 | 334-275 | |
| Total points | 139 | 131 | 160 | 179 | 609 | |
| Winners | 28 | 33 | 33 | 44 | 138 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 38% | 47% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 42/65 | 41/63 | 51/80 | 65/100 | 199/308 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | 64% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 28/42 | 33/41 | 33/51 | 44/65 | 138/199 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 80% | 65% | 68% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 12/22 | 16/29 | 19/35 | 57/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/8 | 6/9 | 4/8 | 18/36 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 38% | 67% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 29 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4/5 | 5/9 | 7/9 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 56% | 78% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Herbert | ||||||
| R1 Brancaccio |
R2 Maestrelli |
1/4 Gea |
1/2 Moutet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-0 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-74 6-4 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 28 | 33 | 26 | 114 | |
| pts | 104-91 | 97-96 | 102-88 | 83-69 | 386-344 | |
| Total points | 195 | 193 | 190 | 152 | 730 | |
| Winners | 39 | 41 | 49 | 39 | 168 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 48% | 47% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 60/103 | 59/107 | 62/88 | 52/82 | 233/380 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 55% | 70% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 39/60 | 41/59 | 49/62 | 39/52 | 168/233 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 69% | 79% | 75% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/43 | 18/48 | 17/26 | 16/30 | 71/147 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 38% | 65% | 53% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/11 | 3/5 | 4/4 | 19/35 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 55% | 60% | 100% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 34 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 8/13 | 0/1 | 4/5 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 62% | 0% | 80% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
