Jan Choinski and Duarte Vale will play each other in the qualifications of the Millennium Estoril Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on COURT CASCAIS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan Choinski who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jan Choinski is the pick to win this match.
Jan Choinski -> 1.28
Duarte Vale -> 3.45
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Prediction and head to head Jan Choinski vs. Duarte Vale
There is no head to head record between Jan Choinski and Duarte Vale since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jan Choinski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-33 | 4-4 | 24-16 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 169, Jan reached the qualifications after beating Francisco Rocha 7-5 6-1.
In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Rocha (7-5 6-1). During the match, Choinski scored 64 points vs Rocha’s 44. Choinski was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Choinski was unable to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 59% of his first serves in, winning 65% (22/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Rocha 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Choinski has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (317-215). 1-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Choinski has a composed 171-100 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Jan has an aggregate 5-11 win-loss record in 2024, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Estoril
The German has never competed in this tournament before.
Duarte Vale
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-33 | 24-16 | 12-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-31 | 28-22 | 7-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-18 | 20-9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-16 | 16-10 | 8-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 581, Vale got to the qualifications after defeating Hendrik Jebens 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Duarte had a good straight sets win against Jebens (6-4 6-2). During the match Vale scored 65 points vs Jebens’s 41. The Portuguese was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Vale struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Duarte Vale was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (27/32) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vale broke Jebens 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Duarte’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Loule.
The Portuguese has an overall 9-8 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Choinski | Vale |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 |
| Pts | 64-44 | 65-41 |
| Total Points | 108 | 106 |
| Winners | 22 | 27 |
| %Winners | 34% | 42% |
Both Choinski and Vale played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Choinski and Vale have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Choinski played 1 game more than Vale. Jan scored 22 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese fired 27 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Choinski | Vale |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 3 |
| 1st in | 34/58 | 32/46 |
| %1st in | 59% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 22/34 | 27/32 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 10/14 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 71% |
Choinski didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Vale struck 3 aces . Choinski won 65% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Vale won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Choinski | Vale |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 67% | 60% |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
The German broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Choinski conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Duarte broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Portuguese was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Choinski | |||
| Q1 Rocha |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 64-44 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/58 | 34/58 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 22/34 | 22/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Vale | |||
| Q1 Jebens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-41 | 65-41 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/46 | 32/46 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 27/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 10/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLWWLL
LWWWLLWWLW 
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