Juan Pablo Varillas and Goncalo Oliveira will play each other in the quarter of the Sao Leopoldo Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:30 am on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.25
Goncalo Oliveira -> 3.6
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Goncalo Oliveira
This will be the 3rd time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Goncalo Oliveira fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Oliveira (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Oliveira won 6-1 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Liberec Challenger back in 2018.
Juan Pablo Varillas
12 - 9win/loss
211
60
LLWLLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-31 | 0-5 | 27-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 95, the Peruvian reached the quarter after defeating Gonzalo Villanueva 7-5 7-60 and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 7-62 5-7 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Peruvian defeated Joaquin Rodriguez (7-62 5-7 6-3). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 116 points vs Joaquin Rodriguez’s 104. The Peruvian was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Juan Pablo Varillas was very effective on serve to win 71% (46/65) of his 1st serve and 58% (23/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Peruvian broke Joaquin Rodriguez 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo Patino-Samudio has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (369-238). 11-5 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Pablo Patino-Samudio has a composed 339-196 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Santiago Challenger where he beat Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-3 6-2.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has an aggregate 11-9 win-loss record in 2024, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sao Leopoldo Challenger
Goncalo Oliveira
6 - 10win/loss
257
194
WLWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-31 | 23-18 | 19-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 92-29 | 48-15 | 40-11 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-27 | 7-7 | 10-16 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-34 | 8-6 | 14-27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 224, the Portuguese got to the quarter after beating Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 7-5 6-3 and Gianluca Mager 7-65 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Goncalo had a good straight sets win against Mager (7-65 6-2). During the match Oliveira scored 71 points vs Mager’s 62. Oliveira was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Oliveira scored 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Goncalo Oliveira lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Oliveira put 75% of his first serves in, winning 76% (37/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Goncalo broke Mager 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Oliveira hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Portuguese has a composed 6-9 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 42 |
| Pts | 205-174 | 144-121 |
| Total Points | 379 | 265 |
| Winners | 78 | 66 |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% |
Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Oliveira played 2 matches. At the moment, Juan Pablo Varillas conceded 1 set while Goncalo Oliveira hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pablo Patino-Samudio has played 1 set more than Oliveira (5 vs 4). Therefore, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 17 games more than Oliveira. Juan scored 78 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese made 66 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 110/173 | 91/117 |
| %1st in | 64% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 78/110 | 66/91 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 34/63 | 14/26 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 54% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 16 aces (8 per match). Oliveira recorded 11 aces (5.5 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 71% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Oliveira won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/21 | 7/18 |
| % Converted | 38% | 39% |
| Conceded | 15 | 5 |
| Saved | 8 | 3 |
| % Saved | 53% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 2 |
The Peruvian broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Pablo Patino-Samudio lost his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Oliveira broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | ||||
| R1 Villanueva |
R2 Joaquin Rodriguez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-60 | 7-62 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 34 | 59 | |
| pts | 89-70 | 116-104 | 205-174 | |
| Total points | 159 | 220 | 379 | |
| Winners | 32 | 46 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 9 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 45/68 | 65/105 | 110/173 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 62% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 32/45 | 46/65 | 78/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 23/40 | 34/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 58% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/10 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 30% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 6/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Oliveira | ||||
| R1 Lucas Reis Da |
R2 Mager |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | 42 | |
| pts | 73-59 | 71-62 | 144-121 | |
| Total points | 132 | 133 | 265 | |
| Winners | 29 | 37 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 52% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/52 | 49/65 | 91/117 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 75% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 37/49 | 66/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 76% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 7/16 | 14/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 44% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 3/7 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 43% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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