Elena Rybakina and Victoria Azarenka will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.33
Victoria Azarenka -> 3.34
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Victoria Azarenka
This will be the 4th time that Elena Rybakina and Victoria Azarenka clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 4-6 6-2 ret. in the 2nd round in Dubai back in February 2024.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the semifinal after defeating Clara Tauson 3-6 7-5 6-4, Taylor Townsend 6-3 6-73 6-4, Madison Keys 6-3 7-5 and Maria Sakkari 7-5 6-74 6-4.
In the quarter, Elena defeated Sakkari (7-5 6-74 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 116 points vs Sakkari’s 106. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina managed to score 10 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 60% of her first serves in, winning 77% (48/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Sakkari 5 times after converting 31% of her break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elena has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (310-135). 21-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has a composed 148-69 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.
Rybakina has a compiled 21-3 win-loss record in 2024, 21-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Victoria Azarenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-15 | 20-10 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 17-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-13 | 18-9 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-9 | 18-6 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-6 | 11-3 | 4-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Victoria got to the semifinal after defeating Peyton Stearns 7-5 3-6 6-4, Qinwen Zheng 6-4 7-5, Katie Boulter 7-5 6-1 and Yulia Putintseva 7-64 1-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Victoria defeated Putintseva (7-64 1-6 6-3).During the match Azarenka scored less points (6) than Putintseva. In fact, the world no. 4 won 102 points vs Putintseva’s. That means that Azarenka was more focused during the important points. Victoria was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Azarenka bagged 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 6 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 63% of her first serves in, winning 61% (36/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (14/35) on the 2nd serve. Azarenka broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 31% of her break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Azarenka has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Victoria’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane.
The Belarussian has an aggregate 14-5 win-loss record in 2024, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, she won this tournament 3 times in 2009, 2011 and 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 119 | 101 |
| Pts | 400-362 | 371-341 |
| Total Points | 762 | 712 |
| Winners | 169 | 152 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Both Rybakina and Azarenka played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina dropped 3 sets, while Victoria Azarenka dropped 2 sets. Rybakina has played 1 set more than Azarenka (11 vs 10). Therefore, Rybakina played 18 games more than Azarenka. The Kazakhstani scored 169 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Victoria scored 152 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 37 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 9.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 222/376 | 230/350 |
| %1st in | 59% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 169/222 | 152/230 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 73/154 | 52/120 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 43% |
Rybakina blasted 37 aces (9.3 per match). Azarenka managed to score 12 aces (3 per match). Rybakina won 76% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 20 |
| Converted | 17/48 | 20/58 |
| % Converted | 35% | 34% |
| Conceded | 27 | 36 |
| Saved | 16 | 20 |
| % Saved | 59% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 16 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 17 times with a 35% conversion rate. Elena lost her serve 11 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Victoria broke her opponents 20 times with a 34% conversion rate. Azarenka conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||||
| R2 Tauson |
R3 Townsend |
R4 Keys |
1/4 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-73 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-5 6-74 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 32 | 21 | 35 | 119 | |
| pts | 109-104 | 104-97 | 71-55 | 116-106 | 400-362 | |
| Total points | 213 | 201 | 126 | 222 | 762 | |
| Winners | 41 | 47 | 33 | 48 | 169 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 46% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 59/103 | 60/106 | 41/63 | 62/104 | 222/376 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 65% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 41/59 | 47/60 | 33/41 | 48/62 | 169/222 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 78% | 80% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/44 | 22/46 | 11/22 | 21/42 | 73/154 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 48% | 50% | 50% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 4/10 | 3/8 | 5/16 | 17/48 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 40% | 38% | 31% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 5/8 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 71% | 50% | 63% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| Azarenka | ||||||
| R2 Stearns |
R3 Zheng |
R4 Boulter |
1/4 Putintseva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | 7-5 6-1 | 7-64 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 | 19 | 29 | 101 | |
| pts | 109-107 | 81-67 | 79-59 | 102-108 | 371-341 | |
| Total points | 216 | 148 | 138 | 210 | 712 | |
| Winners | 46 | 36 | 34 | 36 | 152 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% | 43% | 35% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 77/104 | 49/76 | 45/76 | 59/94 | 230/350 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 64% | 59% | 63% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 46/77 | 36/49 | 34/45 | 36/59 | 152/230 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 73% | 76% | 61% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/27 | 15/27 | 14/31 | 14/35 | 52/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 56% | 45% | 40% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 7/19 | 4/10 | 4/13 | 5/16 | 20/58 | |
| Converted % | 37% | 40% | 31% | 31% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 36 | |
| Saved | 10/17 | 5/7 | 2/3 | 3/9 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 59% | 71% | 67% | 33% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
LLWWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Zdenek KolarKolar (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver – Pedro CachinCachin (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
