Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari will square off in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.35
Maria Sakkari -> 3.22
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 4th time that Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 6-0 6-7(4) 7-6(2) in the R in Cancun back in 2023.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Maria Sakkari – Cancun 31-October-2023
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-4 | 22-4 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Rybakina got to the quarter after beating Clara Tauson 3-6 7-5 6-4, Taylor Townsend 6-3 6-73 6-4 and Madison Keys 6-3 7-5.
In the 4th round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-3 7-5). During the match, Rybakina scored 71 points vs Keys’s 55. Rybakina was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina bagged 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 65% of her first serves in, winning 80% (33/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Rybakina broke Keys 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elena has lost 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (309-135). 20-3 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a compiled 147-69 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 20-3 win-loss record in 2024, 20-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-8 | 12-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Greek got to the quarter after defeating Yue Yuan 6-2 6-2, Dayana Yastremska 7-5 6-4 and Anna Kalinskaya w/o.
In the 4th round, Sakkari defeated Kalinskaya (w/o). During the match Sakkari and Kalinskaya scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 4 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Greek was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Sakkari was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Maria Sakkari conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Greek hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Greek’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Indian Wells.
Sakkari has an overall 12-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 38 |
| Pts | 284-256 | 155-123 |
| Total Points | 540 | 278 |
| Winners | 121 | 63 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Rybakina played 3 matches while Sakkari competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Elena Rybakina surrendered 2 sets while Maria Sakkari hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rybakina has played 4 sets more than Sakkari (8 vs 4). Therefore, Rybakina played 46 games more than Sakkari. Rybakina scored 121 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Maria scored 63 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 4 |
| 1st in | 160/272 | 85/132 |
| %1st in | 59% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 121/160 | 63/85 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 52/112 | 23/47 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 49% |
Rybakina recorded 27 aces (9 per match). Sakkari managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Rybakina won 76% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 8 |
| Converted | 12/32 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 38% | 47% |
| Conceded | 19 | 13 |
| Saved | 11 | 11 |
| % Saved | 58% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 2 |
Rybakina broke her opponents 12 times with a 38% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Maria broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Greek conceded her serve twice and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||||
| R2 Tauson |
R3 Townsend |
R4 Keys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-73 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 32 | 21 | 84 | |
| pts | 109-104 | 104-97 | 71-55 | 284-256 | |
| Total points | 213 | 201 | 126 | 540 | |
| Winners | 41 | 47 | 33 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 16 | 5 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 59/103 | 60/106 | 41/63 | 160/272 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 65% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 41/59 | 47/60 | 33/41 | 121/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 78% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/44 | 22/46 | 11/22 | 52/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 48% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 4/10 | 3/8 | 12/32 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 40% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 2 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 71% | 50% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| Sakkari | |||||
| R2 Yuan |
R3 Yastremska |
R4 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | – | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 | – | 38 | |
| pts | 65-40 | 90-83 | – | 155-123 | |
| Total points | 105 | 173 | – | 278 | |
| Winners | 24 | 39 | – | 63 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | – | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | – | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | – | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/47 | 55/85 | – | 85/132 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 65% | – | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 39/55 | – | 63/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 71% | – | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 14/30 | – | 23/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 47% | – | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | – | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/8 | – | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 38% | – | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | – | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 8/9 | – | 11 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 89% | – | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | – | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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WLWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver – Tommy RobredoRobredo (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro CachinCachin – Thiemo de Bakkerde Bakker (6-3 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Oscar OtteOtte (3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-4 2-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
