Daria Kasatkina and Sorana Cirstea will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.8
Sorana Cirstea -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Sorana Cirstea
This will be the 4th time that Daria Kasatkina and Sorana Cirstea fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Kasatkina won 6-2 6-0 in the quarter in Abu Dhabi back in February 2024.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-9 | 12-8 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Claire Liu 6-0 1-0 ret..
In the 2nd round against Liu, Kasatkina had a free pass after Liu retired on a 6-0 1-0 . scoreline.
Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (329-191). 12-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kasatkina has an aggregate 147-110 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide and Abu Dhabi.
Kasatkina has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2024, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-10 | 9-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-10 | 14-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Cirstea got to the 3rd round after defeating Sloane Stephens 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Sorana had a good straight sets win against Stephens (6-2 6-1). During the match Cirstea scored 53 points vs Stephens’s 23. Cirstea was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Cirstea scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Sorana Cirstea was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of her 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sorana broke Stephens 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Cirstea’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
Sorana has an aggregate 8-7 win-loss record in 2024, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 7 | 15 |
| Pts | 40-22 | 53-23 |
| Total Points | 62 | 76 |
| Winners | 11 | 20 |
| %Winners | 28% | 38% |
Both Kasatkina and Cirstea played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set more than Cirstea (3 vs 2). However, it’s interesting to notice that Kasatkina played 8 games less than Cirstea. The Russian scored 11 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Cirstea made 20 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1 |
| 1st in | 13/21 | 27/42 |
| %1st in | 62% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 11/13 | 20/27 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 3/8 | 11/15 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 73% |
Kasatkina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Cirstea made 1 ace . Kasatkina won 85% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 57% | 71% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Kasatkina broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Kasatkina was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Cirstea broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Cirstea conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R2 Liu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 7 | 7 | |
| pts | 40-22 | 40-22 | |
| Total points | 62 | 62 | |
| Winners | 11 | 11 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 13/21 | 13/21 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 11/13 | 11/13 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Cirstea | |||
| R2 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 53-23 | 53-23 | |
| Total points | 76 | 76 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 27/42 | 27/42 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 20/27 | 20/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 11/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWLWLW
LWLLWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 6-73 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 1-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysKeys – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yulia PutintsevaYulia – Greetje MinnenGreetje (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Oceane DodinDodin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
