Caroline Garcia and Naomi Osaka will face off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.47
Caroline Garcia -> 2.69
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Prediction and head to head Caroline Garcia vs. Naomi Osaka
This will be the 4th time that Caroline Garcia and Naomi Osaka fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Osaka won 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in Doha back in February 2024.
Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Caroline Garcia – Doha 12-February-2024
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-17 | 10-10 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, the French player got to the 3rd round after beating Viktoriya Tomova 6-1 5-2 ret..
In the 2nd round against Tomova, Garcia had a free pass after Tomova retired on a 6-1 5-2 . scoreline.
Garcia has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (318-216). 7-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Garcia has a composed 166-128 match record in the last years on hard.
The French player best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Australia.
Caroline has a compiled 7-7 win-loss record in 2024, 7-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-18 | 13-10 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 13-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-3 | 16-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 229, Naomi reached the 3rd round after defeating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 6-4 and Elina Svitolina 6-2 7-65.
In the 2nd round, Naomi had a good straight sets win against Svitolina (6-2 7-65). During the match Osaka scored 67 points vs Svitolina’s 59. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Osaka struck 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Naomi Osaka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (27/38) of her 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Osaka broke Svitolina 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Osaka hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Naomi has a compiled 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Garcia | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 40 |
| Pts | 55-35 | 132-102 |
| Total Points | 90 | 234 |
| Winners | 20 | 44 |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% |
Garcia played 1 match while Osaka competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Garcia has played 1 set(s) less than Osaka (3 vs 4). Therefore, Garcia played 26 games less than Osaka. The French player scored 20 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Osaka bagged 44 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Garcia | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 24/48 | 58/113 |
| %1st in | 50% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 44/58 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 40/55 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 73% |
Garcia bagged 3 aces . Osaka scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Garcia won 83% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Garcia | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Caroline broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player very solid her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 4 break points. Naomi broke her opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Garcia | |||
| R2 Tomova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 5-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 55-35 | 55-35 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 24/48 | 24/48 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 20/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 12/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Osaka | ||||
| R1 Cocciaretto |
R2 Svitolina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 40 | |
| pts | 65-43 | 67-59 | 132-102 | |
| Total points | 108 | 126 | 234 | |
| Winners | 17 | 27 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 40% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 20/49 | 38/64 | 58/113 | |
| % 1st in | 41% | 59% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 17/20 | 27/38 | 44/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/29 | 17/26 | 40/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 65% | 73% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/5 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 60% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWLWLW
LWWWLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 6-73 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 1-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysKeys – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yulia PutintsevaYulia – Greetje MinnenGreetje (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Oceane DodinDodin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
