Juan Pablo Varillas and Facundo Bagnis will fight against each other in the final of the Santiago Challenger for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.79
Facundo Bagnis -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Facundo Bagnis
This will be the 8th time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Facundo Bagnis square off. The head to head is 5-2 for Pablo Patino-Samudio (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 6-2 6-1 in the 2nd round in Gstaad back in 2023.
Highlights Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Bagnis – Gstaad 20-July-2023
Juan Pablo Varillas
6 - 8win/loss
211
60
LLWLLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-31 | 0-5 | 27-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 110, Pablo Patino-Samudio reached the final after beating Paul Jubb 3-6 6-3 7-66, Orlando Luz 6-3 2-6 7-63, Francesco Passaro 7-5 4-6 7-66 and Liam Draxl 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, Juan had a good straight sets win against Draxl (6-3 6-2). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 76 points vs Draxl’s 53. Pablo Patino-Samudio was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio struck 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Juan Pablo Varillas was very efficient on serve to win 71% (35/49) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pablo Patino-Samudio broke Draxl 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo Patino-Samudio has conceded 3 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (363-237). 5-4 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pablo Patino-Samudio has a compiled 333-195 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Juan’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Santiago Challenger.
The Peruvian has a compiled 5-8 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Facundo Bagnis
18 - 7win/loss
146
55
LLWWLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-15 | 1-3 | 29-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 4-6 | 23-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-29 | 9-9 | 37-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-23 | 2-5 | 35-16 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 1-2 | 24-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 147, Facundo reached the final after beating Gerard Campana Lee 6-1 7-5, Gabi Adrian Boitan 6-4 6-2, Hugo Dellien 6-3 7-68 and Gustavo Heide 6-4 7-61.
In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Heide (6-4 7-61). During the match Bagnis scored 83 points vs Heide’s 69. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Bagnis recorded 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Facundo Bagnis was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Argentine broke Heide 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bagnis hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tigre Challenger where he overcame Mariano Navone in the final 7-5 1-6 7-5.
Facundo has a compiled 18-6 win-loss record in 2024, 17-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament 3 times in 2013, 2015 and 2016. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 113 | 82 |
| Pts | 404-364 | 299-244 |
| Total Points | 768 | 543 |
| Winners | 172 | 114 |
| %Winners | 43% | 38% |
Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Bagnis played 4 matches. At the moment, Juan Pablo Varillas lost 3 sets while Facundo Bagnis hasn’t lost a set so far. Pablo Patino-Samudio has played 3 sets more than Bagnis (11 vs 8). Therefore, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 31 games more than Bagnis. The Peruvian scored 172 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Bagnis scored 114 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 238/373 | 154/258 |
| %1st in | 64% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 172/238 | 114/154 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 71/135 | 64/104 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 62% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio made 21 aces (5.3 per match). Bagnis managed to score 22 aces (5.5 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 72% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Bagnis won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/42 | 12/29 |
| % Converted | 33% | 41% |
| Conceded | 32 | 19 |
| Saved | 21 | 15 |
| % Saved | 66% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 4 |
Pablo Patino-Samudio broke his opponents 14 times with a 33% conversion rate. Pablo Patino-Samudio conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | ||||||
| R1 Jubb |
R2 Luz |
1/4 Passaro |
1/2 Draxl |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-66 | 6-3 2-6 7-63 | 7-5 4-6 7-66 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 113 | |
| pts | 101-99 | 103-94 | 124-118 | 76-53 | 404-364 | |
| Total points | 200 | 197 | 242 | 129 | 768 | |
| Winners | 44 | 41 | 52 | 35 | 172 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 42% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 62/97 | 53/78 | 74/126 | 49/72 | 238/373 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 68% | 59% | 68% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 44/62 | 41/53 | 52/74 | 35/49 | 172/238 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 77% | 70% | 71% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 14/25 | 27/52 | 12/23 | 71/135 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 56% | 52% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | 4/14 | 4/8 | 14/42 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | 29% | 50% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 32 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2/5 | 9/13 | 8/9 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | 69% | 89% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | |
| Bagnis | ||||||
| R1 Campana |
R2 Adrian |
1/4 Dellien |
1/2 Heide |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 7-68 | 6-4 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 82 | |
| pts | 75-58 | 57-42 | 84-75 | 83-69 | 299-244 | |
| Total points | 133 | 99 | 159 | 152 | 543 | |
| Winners | 22 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 51% | 38% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 30/57 | 36/53 | 45/75 | 43/73 | 154/258 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 68% | 60% | 59% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 29/36 | 32/45 | 31/43 | 114/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 81% | 71% | 72% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 10/17 | 23/30 | 17/30 | 64/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 59% | 77% | 57% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 3/5 | 1/7 | 3/4 | 12/29 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 60% | 14% | 75% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/1 | 5/5 | 7/9 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 100% | 78% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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