H2H, prediction of Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick | 16th March 2024

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Alcaraz and Sinner will fight against each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 16th of March

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner

Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will square off in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.7
Carlos Alcaraz -> 2.16

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner

This will be the 9th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner fight against each other. The head to head is 4-4 for Alcaraz and Sinner (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 7-6(4) 6-1 in the semifinal in Beijing back in 2023.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz – Beijing 03-October-2023

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

11 - 3win/loss

Hard
9-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-2
Rank
3
High
1
WLWLLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Alcaraz reached the semifinal after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-75 6-0 6-1, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-2 6-3, Fabian Marozsan 6-3 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-1.

In the quarter, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 6-1). During the match, Alcaraz scored 64 points vs Zverev’s 38. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was very effective on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 75% (6/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alcaraz broke Zverev 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 60% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (243-66). 8-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has a composed83-21 record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Spaniard’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.

The Spaniard has an overall 10-3 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Alcaraz
Indian Wells
Alcaraz's Record

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner

16 - 1win/loss

Hard
11-1
I Hard
5-0
Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 73-6 40-3 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-3 6-0, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-4, Ben Shelton 7-64 6-1 and Jiri Lehecka 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-3 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 69 points vs Lehecka’s 52. Sinner was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Sinner fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jannik Sinner was very efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jannik broke Lehecka 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4.

Jannik has a compiled 16-0 win-loss record in 2024, 11-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

Sinner
Indian Wells
Sinner's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
J.Sinner
6h:15
6h:15
Time on court​
5h:37
5h:37
1h:29
1h:29
Last match​
1h:24
1h:24
4
4
Match played
4
4
77
77
Games Played​
72
72
9
9
Set played​​
8
8
284
284
Total points​
271
271
71
71
Avg point​
67.8
67.8
115
115
Winners
108
108
28.8
28.8
Avg Winners​
27
27
40%
40%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
16
16
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
4
4
4
4
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
115/137
115/137
1st won total​
108/135
108/135
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
44/71
44/71
2nd won total​
54/80
54/80
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
!
68%
68%
-- Break Points --
17/33
17/33
BP won
12/30
12/30
4.3/8.3
4.3/8.3
Avg BP won
3/7.5
3/7.5
!
52%
52%
Won
40%
40%
7
7
Conceded
10
10
1.8
1.8
Avg Conceded
2.5
2.5
1
1
Broken
1
1
!
0.3
0.3
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
6
6
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Sinner
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 8
Tot Games 77 72
Pts 284-189 271-186
Total Points 473 457
Winners 115 108
%Winners 40% 40%

Both Alcaraz and Sinner played 4 matches. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set more than Sinner (9 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 5 games more than Sinner. Alcaraz scored 115 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Jannik struck 108 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Sinner
Aces 10 16
Avg per match 2.5 4
1st in 137/208 135/215
%1st in 66% 63%
1st pts 115/137 108/135
%1st pts 84% 80%
2nd pts 44/71 54/80
%2nd pts 62% 68%

Alcaraz bagged 10 aces (2.5 per match). Sinner scored 16 aces (4 per match). Alcaraz won 84% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Sinner
Won 17 12
Converted 17/33 12/30
% Converted 52% 40%
Conceded 7 10
Saved 6 9
% Saved 86% 90%
Times Broken 1 1

Alcaraz broke his opponents 17 times with a 52% conversion rate. Alcaraz lost his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Arnaldi
R3
Auger-Aliassime
R4
Marozsan
1/4
Zverev
1/4
Zverev
1/4
Zverev
Total
Score 6-75 6-0 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 2 2 1 1 11
Tot Games 26 17 18 16 0 0 77
pts 99-69 58-38 63-44 64-38 38-64 38-64 360-317
Total points 168 96 107 102 102 102 677
Winners 37 25 26 27 25 25 165
%Winners 37% 43% 41% 42% 66% 66% 46%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 4 1 3 3 16
Double Faults 1 1 2 0 2 2 8
1st in 43/76 32/44 31/49 31/39 49/63 49/63 235/334
% 1st in 57% 73% 63% 79% 78% 78% 70%
1st pts 37/43 25/32 26/31 27/31 25/49 25/49 165/235
% 1st pts 86% 78% 84% 87% 51% 51% 70%
2nd pts 18/33 8/12 12/18 6/8 7/14 7/14 58/99
% 2nd pts 55% 67% 67% 75% 50% 50% 59%
Breaks
Won 6 4 3 4 0 0 17
Converted 6/13 4/7 3/8 4/5 0/0 0/0 17/33
Converted % 46% 57% 38% 80% 0% 0% 52%
Conceded 4 1 2 0 5 5 17
Saved 3/4 1/1 2/2 0/0 1/5 1/5 8
Saved % 75% 100% 100% 20% 20% 53%
Times Broken 1 0 0 0 4 4 9
Sinner
R2
Kokkinakis
R3
Struff
R4
Shelton
1/4
Lehecka
1/4
Lehecka
1/4
Lehecka
Total
Score 6-3 6-0 6-3 6-4 7-64 6-1 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 1 1 10
Tot Games 15 19 20 18 0 0 72
pts 59-32 63-47 80-55 69-52 52-69 52-69 375-324
Total points 91 110 135 121 121 121 699
Winners 22 29 34 23 32 32 172
%Winners 37% 46% 43% 33% 62% 62% 46%
SERVE
Aces 3 7 3 3 5 5 26
Double Faults 0 2 1 2 3 3 11
1st in 29/47 35/52 44/65 27/51 47/70 47/70 229/355
% 1st in 62% 67% 68% 53% 67% 67% 65%
1st pts 22/29 29/35 34/44 23/27 32/47 32/47 172/229
% 1st pts 76% 83% 77% 85% 68% 68% 75%
2nd pts 13/18 13/17 13/21 15/24 7/23 7/23 68/126
% 2nd pts 72% 76% 62% 63% 30% 30% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 2 3 3 0 0 12
Converted 4/6 2/4 3/9 3/11 0/1 0/1 12/32
Converted % 67% 50% 33% 27% 0% 0% 38%
Conceded 1 3 5 1 11 11 32
Saved 1/1 3/3 4/5 1/1 8/11 8/11 25
Saved % 100% 100% 80% 100% 73% 73% 88%
Times Broken 0 0 1 0 3 3 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Alcaraz
WLWLLWLWWW
Sinner
WWWWWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
51 - 13
70 - 6
22-5
Hard
40-3
4-3
I Hard
10-0
17-4
Clay
11-2
8-1
Grass
9-1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosSimone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori (4-6 7-67 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola MekticKevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw