Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul will play each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.69
Tommy Paul -> 2.18
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 6th time that Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Ruud won 7-6(6) 6-2 in the R in Laver cup back in 2023.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-14 | 21-6 | 24-7 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Casper got to the quarter after defeating Lukas Klein 6-4 7-64, Arthur Fils 6-2 6-4 and Gael Monfils 3-6 7-63 6-4.
In the 4th round against Monfils, The Norwegian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 6-4).During the match, Ruud scored less points (6) than Monfils. In fact, the world no. 9 won 92 points vs Monfils’s. That means that Ruud was more focused during the important points. The Norwegian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 62% (24/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Casper broke Monfils once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Casper has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (369-196). 15-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has an aggregate 100-64 record in the last years on hard.
Casper’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Los Cabos and Acapulco.
Casper has a composed 16-3 win-loss record in 2024, 15-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-14 | 14-8 | 10-4 | 4-0 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Tommy got to the quarter after beating Alex Michelsen 6-2 6-2, Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-4 and Luca Nardi 6-4 6-3.
In the 4th round, The American had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-4 6-3). During the match Paul scored 64 points vs Nardi’s 54. Paul was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Paul scored 5 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Tommy Paul was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Nardi 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3.
Paul has an aggregate 13-4 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 55 |
| Pts | 236-212 | 195-152 |
| Total Points | 448 | 347 |
| Winners | 108 | 74 |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% |
Both Ruud and Paul played 3 matches. At the moment, Casper Ruud conceded 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set more than Paul (7 vs 6). Therefore, Ruud played 18 games more than Paul. Casper scored 108 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Paul made 74 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 142/221 | 92/148 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 108/142 | 74/92 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 50/79 | 31/56 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 55% |
Ruud scored 9 aces (3 per match). Paul managed to score 8 aces (2.7 per match). Ruud won 76% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 11 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 11/23 |
| % Converted | 31% | 48% |
| Conceded | 11 | 3 |
| Saved | 10 | 1 |
| % Saved | 91% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Norwegian broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Ruud conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||||
| R2 Klein |
R3 Fils |
R4 Monfils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 18 | 32 | 73 | |
| pts | 81-72 | 63-42 | 92-98 | 236-212 | |
| Total points | 153 | 105 | 190 | 448 | |
| Winners | 38 | 27 | 43 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 43% | 47% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/79 | 31/43 | 60/99 | 142/221 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 72% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 38/51 | 27/31 | 43/60 | 108/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 87% | 72% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 9/12 | 24/39 | 50/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 75% | 62% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 3/7 | 1/6 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 17% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 75% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Paul | ||||||
| R2 Michelsen |
R3 Humbert |
R4 Nardi |
R4 Nardi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | |||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 20 | 19 | 0 | 55 | |
| pts | 67-47 | 64-51 | 64-54 | 54-64 | 249-216 | |
| Total points | 114 | 115 | 118 | 118 | 465 | |
| Winners | 19 | 30 | 25 | 29 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 47% | 39% | 54% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 23/41 | 37/56 | 32/51 | 40/67 | 132/215 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 66% | 63% | 60% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 19/23 | 30/37 | 25/32 | 29/40 | 103/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 81% | 78% | 73% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 9/19 | 12/19 | 11/27 | 42/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 47% | 63% | 41% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/6 | 3/9 | 0/1 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 6/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 100% | 67% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWLWWWL
WWWLLWLWWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Lloyd Glasspool/Jean-Julien RojerGlasspool/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-3 5-7 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (6-4 6-79 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jannik SinnerSinner () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz () – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
