Daria Kasatkina and Sloane Stephens will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.81
Sloane Stephens -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Sloane Stephens
This will be the 6th time that Daria Kasatkina and Sloane Stephens clash against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Stephens (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Stephens won 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Highlights Sloane Stephens vs Daria Kasatkina – Australian Open 18-January-2024
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Russian got to the 3rd round after defeating Oceane Dodin 6-3 7-65.
In the 2nd round, Kasatkina had a good straight sets win against Dodin (6-3 7-65). During the match, Kasatkina scored 76 points vs Dodin’s 66. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina scored 3 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 73% of her first serves in, winning 71% (36/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Dodin 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (327-190). 10-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kasatkina has an overall 145-109 record in the last years on hard.
Darya’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Adelaide and Abu Dhabi.
Kasatkina has a composed 10-6 win-loss record in 2024, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Sloane Stephens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-22 | 8-13 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-20 | 11-14 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-17 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-19 | 6-11 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Mayar Sherif 7-5 6-3 and Sorana Cirstea 6-0 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Sloane had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-0 7-5). During the match Stephens scored 69 points vs Cirstea’s 49. Stephens was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Stephens couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Sloane Stephens lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Stephens put 69% of her first serves in, winning 74% (31/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Sloane broke Cirstea 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stephens hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Stephens has an aggregate 7-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2014. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 39 |
| Pts | 76-66 | 142-107 |
| Total Points | 142 | 249 |
| Winners | 36 | 65 |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% |
Kasatkina played 1 match while Stephens competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Kasatkina has played 2 set(s) less than Stephens (2 vs 4). Therefore, Kasatkina played 17 games less than Stephens. Darya scored 36 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Stephens fired 65 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 51/70 | 89/123 |
| %1st in | 73% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 65/89 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 15/34 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 44% |
Kasatkina managed to score 3 aces . Stephens didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kasatkina won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Stephens won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/4 | 9/22 |
| % Converted | 75% | 41% |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 75% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Russian broke her opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Russian lost her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Sloane broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R2 Dodin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 76-66 | 76-66 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 51/70 | 51/70 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 36/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 8/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Stephens | ||||
| R1 Sherif |
R2 Cirstea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-0 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 39 | |
| pts | 73-58 | 69-49 | 142-107 | |
| Total points | 131 | 118 | 249 | |
| Winners | 34 | 31 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/62 | 42/61 | 89/123 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 69% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 31/42 | 65/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 74% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/15 | 9/19 | 15/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 47% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 5/9 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 56% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWLWL
LLLLLLWLLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-2 4-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Madison KeysKeys (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Angelique KerberKerber – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Diane ParryParry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (8-7) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
