Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Goncalo Oliveira will play each other in the quarter of the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on CANCHA 9. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.23
Goncalo Oliveira -> 3.78
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Goncalo Oliveira
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Goncalo Oliveira since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
13 - 5win/loss
104
91
LWWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-29 | 2-4 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127, Camilo got to the quarter after defeating Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 7-610 5-7 4-0 ret. and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 7-63 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Ugo Carabelli had a good straight sets win against Carlos Prado Angelo (7-63 6-1). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 77 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 58. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was quite effective on serve to win 74% (26/35) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Camilo broke Carlos Prado Angelo 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (301-173). 11-4 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate272-148 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4.
Camilo has an overall 13-5 win-loss record in 2024, 11-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
Goncalo Oliveira
4 - 6win/loss
242
194
LWWLWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-31 | 22-18 | 19-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 92-29 | 48-15 | 40-11 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-27 | 7-7 | 10-16 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-34 | 8-6 | 14-27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 217, the Portuguese got to the quarter after beating Alexander Weis 6-3 6-3 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Oliveira had a good straight sets win against Alberto Olivieri (6-4 6-2). During the match Oliveira scored 72 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 52. Oliveira was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Oliveira scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Goncalo Oliveira lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Oliveira put 61% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Goncalo broke Alberto Olivieri 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Goncalo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
The Portuguese has a composed 4-6 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 36 |
| Pts | 183-148 | 132-94 |
| Total Points | 331 | 226 |
| Winners | 63 | 53 |
| %Winners | 34% | 40% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Oliveira played 2 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 1 set while Goncalo Oliveira hasn’t lost a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 2 sets more than Oliveira (6 vs 4). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 13 games more than Oliveira. Ugo Carabelli scored 63 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Oliveira bagged 53 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 92/153 | 68/106 |
| %1st in | 60% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 63/92 | 53/68 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 32/61 | 21/38 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 55% |
Ugo Carabelli struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Oliveira also fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 68% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Oliveira won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 8 |
| Converted | 11/22 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 18 | 10 |
| Saved | 11 | 8 |
| % Saved | 61% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 2 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli lost his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Goncalo broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Oliveira conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||
| R1 Daniel Vallejo |
R2 Carlos Prado Angelo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-610 5-7 4-0 ret. | 7-63 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 20 | 49 | |
| pts | 106-90 | 77-58 | 183-148 | |
| Total points | 196 | 135 | 331 | |
| Winners | 37 | 26 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 57/96 | 35/57 | 92/153 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 37/57 | 26/35 | 63/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 74% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 13/22 | 32/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 59% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/12 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 42% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 10/15 | 1/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Oliveira | ||||
| R1 Weis |
R2 Alberto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| pts | 60-42 | 72-52 | 132-94 | |
| Total points | 102 | 124 | 226 | |
| Winners | 27 | 26 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 36% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 37/61 | 68/106 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 26/37 | 53/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 70% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 12/24 | 21/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/10 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | – | 80% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Renzo OlivoOlivo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
