Ivan Denisov and Stefan Kozlov will square off in the qualifications of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on CENTER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefan Kozlov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefan Kozlov is the pick to win this match.
Stefan Kozlov -> 1.095
Ivan Denisov -> 6.35
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Prediction and head to head Ivan Denisov vs. Stefan Kozlov
There is no head to head record between Ivan Denisov and Stefan Kozlov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Ivan Denisov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-16 | 5-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-20 | 5-4 | 15-14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 9-13 | 9-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-15 | 0-1 | 12-10 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-8 | 2-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, the Russian got to the qualifications after defeating Preston Brown 3-6 7-64 6-1.
In the qualifications against Brown, Denisov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-64 6-1). During the match, Denisov scored 101 points vs Brown’s 93. Ivan was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Denisov made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ivan Denisov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Denisov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 59% (36/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (25/38) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Brown 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Denisov has a weak record in the last 7 years having won 49% of his matches (78-82). 3-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Denisov has a compiled47-42 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Ivan has a composed 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger
Stefan Kozlov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-19 | 16-9 | 17-8 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-34 | 14-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 20-12 | 5-2 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-13 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 816, Kozlov reached the qualifications after beating Christopher Bulus 6-2 7-5.
In the qualifications, Stefan had a good straight sets win against Bulus (6-2 7-5). During the match Kozlov scored 74 points vs Bulus’s 57. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Kozlov blasted 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Stefan Kozlov was quite efficient on serve to win 91% (30/33) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kozlov broke Bulus 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Stefan’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Kigali 1 Challenger.
Stefan has an overall 11-5 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Denisov | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 20 |
| Pts | 101-93 | 74-57 |
| Total Points | 194 | 131 |
| Winners | 36 | 30 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Denisov and Kozlov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Ivan Denisov surrendered 1 set while Stefan Kozlov hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Denisov has played 1 set more than Kozlov (3 vs 2). Therefore, Denisov played 9 games more than Kozlov. Ivan scored 36 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 30 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Denisov | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 7 |
| 1st in | 61/99 | 33/54 |
| %1st in | 62% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 36/61 | 30/33 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 91% |
| 2nd pts | 25/38 | 13/21 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 62% |
Denisov struck 9 aces . Kozlov made 7 aces . Denisov won 59% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Kozlov won 91% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Denisov | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 56% | 38% |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Denisov broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Denisov lost his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Denisov | |||
| Q1 Brown |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 101-93 | 101-93 | |
| Total points | 194 | 194 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 61/99 | 61/99 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 36/61 | 36/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/38 | 25/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Kozlov | |||
| Q1 Bulus |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 74-57 | 74-57 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 33/54 | 33/54 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 30/33 | 30/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 13/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLLLLWW
LWLWWLWWLW 
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