Yu Hsiou Hsu and Egor Gerasimov will square off in the qualifications of the Lugano Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Egor Gerasimov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Egor Gerasimov is the pick to win this match.
Egor Gerasimov -> 1.71
Yu Hsiou Hsu -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Yu Hsiou Hsu vs. Egor Gerasimov
There is no head to head record between Yu Hsiou Hsu and Egor Gerasimov since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-11 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-21 | 30-15 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-24 | 47-18 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 49-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 233, Yu reached the qualifications after defeating Andrin Casanova 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications against Casanova, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Hsiou Hsu scored 97 points vs Casanova’s 86. Yu was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Hsiou Hsu struck 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Yu Hsiou Hsu was very efficient on serve to win 83% (39/47) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Yu broke Casanova 3 times after converting 21% of his break points (3/14).
Hsiou Hsu has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (229-133). 1-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Hsiou Hsu has an aggregate5-11 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
Hsiou Hsu’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger.
The Chinese has a composed 4-7 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.
Egor Gerasimov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-25 | 18-15 | 1-3 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-16 | 8-10 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-32 | 5-10 | 2-8 | 14-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-15 | 6-6 | 1-3 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 339, Gerasimov reached the qualifications after beating Luca Margaroli 4-6 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications against Margaroli, The Belarussian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Gerasimov scored 84 points vs Margaroli’s 66. Gerasimov was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Gerasimov struck 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Egor Gerasimov lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gerasimov put 75% of his first serves in, winning 75% (46/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Gerasimov broke Margaroli 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Gerasimov’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.
Egor has an aggregate 11-7 win-loss record in 2024, 11-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hsiou Hsu | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 25 |
| Pts | 97-86 | 84-66 |
| Total Points | 183 | 150 |
| Winners | 39 | 46 |
| %Winners | 40% | 55% |
Both Hsiou Hsu and Gerasimov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Yu Hsiou Hsu lost 1 set, while Egor Gerasimov conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Hsiou Hsu and Gerasimov have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Hsiou Hsu played 5 games more than Gerasimov. Yu scored 39 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Egor fired 46 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hsiou Hsu | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 10 |
| 1st in | 47/78 | 61/81 |
| %1st in | 60% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 39/47 | 46/61 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 9/20 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 45% |
Hsiou Hsu fired 6 aces . Gerasimov bagged 10 aces . Hsiou Hsu won 83% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Gerasimov won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hsiou Hsu | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/14 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 21% | 63% |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Saved | 1 | 7 |
| % Saved | 33% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Chinese broke his opponent 3 times with a 21% conversion rate. Hsiou Hsu conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Gerasimov broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Gerasimov conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hsiou Hsu | |||
| Q1 Casanova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 97-86 | 97-86 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 47/78 | 47/78 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 39/47 | 39/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/14 | 3/14 | |
| Converted % | 21% | 21% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Gerasimov | |||
| Q1 Margaroli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 84-66 | 84-66 | |
| Total points | 150 | 150 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 61/81 | 61/81 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 46/61 | 46/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 9/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWWW
LWLLWLLWLW 
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