Brandon Nakashima and Otto Virtanen will play each other in the semifinal of the Pau Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.285
Otto Virtanen -> 3.34
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Otto Virtanen
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Otto Virtanen since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 90, Brandon reached the semifinal after beating Joris De Loore 6-4 6-4, James Kent Trotter 6-4 6-4 and Mattia Bellucci 3-6 6-4 7-62.
In the quarter against Bellucci, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 7-62). During the match, Nakashima scored 94 points vs Bellucci’s 82. Brandon was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima fired 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (53/67) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Brandon broke Bellucci once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (184-113). 11-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Nakashima has an aggregate61-22 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
The American has an overall 19-5 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Pau Challenger
Brandon has never competed in this tournament before.
Otto Virtanen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-28 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 24-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-31 | 4-6 | 4-10 | 22-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-31 | 4-1 | 7-12 | 25-13 | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 40-21 | 2-2 | 16-11 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 21-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 172, Virtanen got to the semifinal after defeating Tristan Lamasine 7-5 7-63, Benoit Paire 6-0 7-63 and Lucas Pouille 7-65 7-63.
In the quarter, Virtanen had a good straight sets win against Pouille (7-65 7-63).During the match Virtanen scored less points (1) than Pouille. In fact, the world no. 90 won 93 points vs Pouille’s. That means that Virtanen was more focused during the important points. Otto was extremely aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Virtanen submerged his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Otto Virtanen lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Virtanen put 66% of his first serves in, winning 73% (52/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Virtanen broke Pouille once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Finn hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Finn has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2024, 6-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 70 |
| Pts | 225-186 | 260-228 |
| Total Points | 411 | 488 |
| Winners | 108 | 111 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Nakashima and Virtanen played 3 matches. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima conceded 1 set while Otto Virtanen hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Virtanen (7 vs 6). Therefore, Nakashima played 2 games more than Virtanen. Nakashima scored 108 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Finn struck 111 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 38 |
| Avg per match | 9.3 | 12.7 |
| 1st in | 139/206 | 144/241 |
| %1st in | 67% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 108/139 | 111/144 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 44/67 | 48/97 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 49% |
Nakashima struck 28 aces (9.3 per match). Virtanen fired 38 aces (12.7 per match). Nakashima won 78% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 8/26 |
| % Converted | 43% | 31% |
| Conceded | 10 | 16 |
| Saved | 7 | 12 |
| % Saved | 70% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Nakashima broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Brandon lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Virtanen broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. Otto conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | |||||
| R1 De Loore |
R2 Kent |
1/4 Bellucci |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 32 | 72 | |
| pts | 71-57 | 60-47 | 94-82 | 225-186 | |
| Total points | 128 | 107 | 176 | 411 | |
| Winners | 31 | 24 | 53 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 56% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 4 | 13 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/65 | 30/51 | 67/90 | 139/206 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 74% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 24/30 | 53/67 | 108/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 80% | 79% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 16/21 | 15/23 | 44/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 76% | 65% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 2/6 | 1/5 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 33% | 20% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 83% | – | 50% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Virtanen | |||||
| R1 Lamasine |
R2 Paire |
1/4 Pouille |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-63 | 6-0 7-63 | 7-65 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 19 | 26 | 70 | |
| pts | 83-71 | 84-63 | 93-94 | 260-228 | |
| Total points | 154 | 147 | 187 | 488 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 52 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 56% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 7 | 20 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 37/68 | 36/66 | 71/107 | 144/241 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 55% | 66% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 29/36 | 52/71 | 111/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | 73% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 14/30 | 16/36 | 48/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 5/18 | 1/3 | 8/26 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 28% | 33% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/6 | 7/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 88% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLLWLW
LWWLWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Pau Challenger
- Romain Arneodo/Tristan-Samuel WeissbornArneodo/Tristan-Samuel Weissborn – Constantin Frantzen/Hendrik JebensFrantzen/Hendrik Jebens (6-4 6-72 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
