Grigor Dimitrov and Ugo Humbert will fight against each other in the final of the Open 13 Provence for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.42
Ugo Humbert -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 3rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Ugo Humbert play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Dimitrov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Dimitrov won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2020.
Highlights Grigor Dimitrov vs Ugo Humbert – Cincinnati 23-August-2020
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Dimitrov got to the final after beating Sebastian Korda 6-1 7-65, Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 7-63 and Karen Khachanov 6-73 6-4 7-65.
In the semifinal against Khachanov, Dimitrov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 7-65). During the match, Dimitrov scored 125 points vs Khachanov’s 112. Grigor was pretty aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about the service games, Dimitrov bagged 19 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 82% (60/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (21/45) on the 2nd serve. Grigor broke Khachanov 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dimitrov has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Dimitrov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (291-180). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dimitrov has a composed 60-31 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Brisbane where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.
Dimitrov has an overall 10-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marseille
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Ugo reached the final after defeating Hugo Gaston 2-6 6-1 6-3, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-1 6-4 and Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The French player had a good straight sets win against Hurkacz (6-4 6-4). During the match Humbert scored 61 points vs Hurkacz’s 50. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Humbert blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ugo Humbert was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (37/46) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Hurkacz twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The French player best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Marseille.
Humbert has an aggregate 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marseille
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 61 |
| Pts | 259-211 | 198-154 |
| Total Points | 470 | 352 |
| Winners | 124 | 86 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Dimitrov and Humbert played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Grigor Dimitrov lost 1 set, while Ugo Humbert conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Dimitrov and Humbert have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Dimitrov played 17 games more than Humbert. Grigor scored 124 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 86 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 37 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 12.3 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 146/235 | 107/173 |
| %1st in | 62% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 124/146 | 86/107 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 51/89 | 37/66 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 56% |
Dimitrov blasted 37 aces (12.3 per match). Humbert made 19 aces (6.3 per match). Dimitrov won 85% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 10 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 10/21 |
| % Converted | 39% | 48% |
| Conceded | 9 | 12 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 67% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The Bulgarian broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Dimitrov dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | |||||
| R2 Korda |
1/4 Rinderknech |
1/2 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-65 | 6-3 7-63 | 6-73 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 22 | 36 | 78 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 65-50 | 125-112 | 259-211 | |
| Total points | 118 | 115 | 237 | 470 | |
| Winners | 29 | 35 | 60 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 54% | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 10 | 19 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 36/60 | 37/57 | 73/118 | 146/235 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 65% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 35/37 | 60/73 | 124/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 95% | 82% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/24 | 14/20 | 21/45 | 51/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 70% | 47% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 1/4 | 3/8 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 38% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 4/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 67% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Humbert | |||||
| R2 Gaston |
1/4 Davidovich Fokina |
1/2 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 17 | 20 | 61 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 59-38 | 61-50 | 198-154 | |
| Total points | 144 | 97 | 111 | 352 | |
| Winners | 25 | 24 | 37 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 41% | 61% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 7 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/68 | 26/45 | 46/60 | 107/173 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 58% | 77% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 24/26 | 37/46 | 86/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 92% | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 12/19 | 8/14 | 37/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 63% | 57% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/8 | 2/2 | 10/21 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 38% | 100% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
