Elena Rybakina and Daria Kasatkina will fight against each other in the final of the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.36
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.16
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 5th time that Elena Rybakina and Daria Kasatkina square off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Rybakina won 5-7 7-5 7-6(8) in the quarter in Montreal back in 2023.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Elena reached the final after beating Danielle Rose Collins 4-6 6-3 6-3, Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-4 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-0 4-6 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Kazakhstani defeated Samsonova (6-0 4-6 6-2). During the match, Rybakina scored 87 points vs Samsonova’s 67. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina recorded 9 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 64% of her first serves in, winning 73% (33/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Samsonova 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (299-134). 10-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an aggregate 137-68 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3.
Rybakina has an overall 10-2 win-loss record in 2024, 10-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, the Russian got to the final after beating Diane Parry 6-4 5-7 6-4, Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 7-5, Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-0 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 4-6 7-62.
In the semifinal, Darya defeated Haddad Maia (6-3 4-6 7-62). During the match Kasatkina scored 114 points vs Haddad Maia’s 103. Darya was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 6 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 76% of her first serves in, winning 58% (48/83) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Haddad Maia 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Kasatkina’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Adelaide.
The Russian has a compiled 9-3 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 99 |
| Pts | 248-196 | 352-318 |
| Total Points | 444 | 670 |
| Winners | 97 | 154 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Rybakina played 3 matches while Kasatkina competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina dropped 2 sets, while Daria Kasatkina conceded 2 sets. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Kasatkina (8 vs 10). Therefore, Rybakina played 30 games less than Kasatkina. Elena scored 97 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Darya struck 154 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 138/207 | 249/344 |
| %1st in | 67% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 97/138 | 154/249 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 37/69 | 49/95 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 52% |
Rybakina bagged 19 aces (6.3 per match). Kasatkina blasted 6 aces (1.5 per match). Rybakina won 70% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 21 |
| Converted | 16/38 | 21/40 |
| % Converted | 42% | 53% |
| Conceded | 13 | 29 |
| Saved | 6 | 18 |
| % Saved | 46% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 11 |
Rybakina broke her opponents 16 times with a 42% conversion rate. Elena dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 46% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 21 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||||
| R2 Collins |
1/4 Bucsa |
1/2 Samsonova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-0 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 | 24 | 69 | |
| pts | 97-90 | 64-39 | 87-67 | 248-196 | |
| Total points | 187 | 103 | 154 | 444 | |
| Winners | 36 | 28 | 33 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 60/89 | 33/48 | 45/70 | 138/207 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 69% | 64% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 36/60 | 28/33 | 33/45 | 97/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 85% | 73% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 8/15 | 12/25 | 37/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 53% | 48% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/11 | 6/15 | 16/38 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 36% | 40% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 0% | 33% | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Kasatkina | ||||||
| R1 Parry |
R2 Krueger |
1/4 Cirstea |
1/2 Haddad Maia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 6-0 | 6-3 4-6 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 21 | 14 | 32 | 99 | |
| pts | 100-103 | 72-65 | 66-47 | 114-103 | 352-318 | |
| Total points | 203 | 137 | 113 | 217 | 670 | |
| Winners | 47 | 31 | 28 | 48 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 43% | 42% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 76/114 | 48/63 | 42/58 | 83/109 | 249/344 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 76% | 72% | 76% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 47/76 | 31/48 | 28/42 | 48/83 | 154/249 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 65% | 67% | 58% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 9/15 | 8/16 | 12/26 | 49/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 60% | 50% | 46% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/8 | 5/10 | 7/16 | 21/40 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 50% | 44% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 29 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 8/14 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 100% | 57% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLWWWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Abu Dhabi
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
