Luca Nardi and Sumit Nagal will fight against each other in the final of the Chennai Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sumit Nagal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sumit Nagal is the pick to win this match.
Sumit Nagal -> 1.66
Luca Nardi -> 2.14

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Sumit Nagal

There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Sumit Nagal since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Luca Nardi

Ranked no. 114 (career-high), the Italian reached the final after beating Eric Vanshelboim 6-2 6-2, Bernard Tomic 7-5 6-3, Stefano Napolitano 6-4 3-6 6-0 and Chun Hsin Tseng 6-4 4-6 7-6⁶.

In the semifinal, Nardi defeated Hsin Tseng (6-4 4-6 7-6⁶). During the match, Nardi scored 113 points vs Hsin Tseng’s 103. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nardi managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 59% of his first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (26/41) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Hsin Tseng 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nardi has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Nardi has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (126-96). 5-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has a composed40-19 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Luca’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Chennai Challenger.

Luca has a compiled 5-3 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Chennai Challenger

Sumit Nagal

Ranked no. 121 (career-high), Nagal reached the final after defeating S D Prajwal Dev 6-1 6-2

, Giovanni Fonio 7-5 6-2, Dominik Palan 6-3 6-3 and Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, Sumit had a good straight sets win against Svrcina (6-3 6-4). During the match Nagal scored 63 points vs Svrcina’s 54. Nagal was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Nagal was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sumit Nagal lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 71% of his first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The Indian broke Svrcina 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Indian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Sumit’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Chennai Challenger.

The Indian has a composed 8-2 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Chennai Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nardi	Nagal
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	8
Tot Games	95	72
Pts	336-281	247-185
Total Points	617	432
Winners	121	114
%Winners	36%	46%

Both Nardi and Nagal played 4 matches. At the moment, Luca Nardi dropped 2 sets while Sumit Nagal hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nardi has played 2 sets more than Nagal (10 vs 8). Therefore, Nardi played 23 games more than Nagal. Luca scored 121 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Sumit scored 114 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nardi	Nagal
Aces	11	5
Avg per match	2.8	1.3
1st in	178/284	155/218
%1st in	63%	71%
1st pts	121/178	114/155
%1st pts	68%	74%
2nd pts	64/106	40/63
%2nd pts	60%	63%

Nardi blasted 11 aces (2.8 per match). Nagal struck 5 aces (1.3 per match). Nardi won 68% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nagal won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nardi	Nagal
Won	18	14
Converted	18/40	14/26
% Converted	45%	54%
Conceded	23	10
Saved	13	8
% Saved	57%	80%
Times Broken	10	2

Luca broke his opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 10 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Sumit broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Sumit conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Nardi
	R1 Vanshelboim	R2 Tomic	1/4 Napolitano	1/2 Hsin	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	7-5 6-3	6-4 3-6 6-0	6-4 4-6 7-66
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	16	21	25	33	95
pts	62-40	75-61	86-77	113-103	336-281
Total points	102	136	163	216	617
Winners	23	33	24	41	121
%Winners	37%	44%	28%	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	0	7	0	4	11
Double Faults	2	3	2	3	10
1st in	29/47	47/71	42/65	60/101	178/284
% 1st in	62%	66%	65%	59%	63%
1st pts	23/29	33/47	24/42	41/60	121/178
% 1st pts	79%	70%	57%	68%	68%
2nd pts	9/18	16/24	13/23	26/41	64/106
% 2nd pts	50%	67%	57%	63%	60%
Breaks
Won	5	3	7	3	18
Converted	5/8	3/5	7/18	3/9	18/40
Converted %	63%	60%	39%	33%	45%
Conceded	3	6	6	8	23
Saved	2/3	5/6	1/6	5/8	13
Saved %	67%	83%	17%	63%	58%
Times Broken	1	1	5	3	10

Nagal
	R1 D Prajwal Dev	R2 Fonio	1/4 Palan	1/2 Svrcina	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	7-5 6-2	6-3 6-3	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	15	20	18	19	72
pts	59-37	58-44	67-50	63-54	247-185
Total points	96	102	117	117	432
Winners	20	31	32	31	114
%Winners	34%	53%	48%	49%	46%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	3	0	5
Double Faults	0	1	0	1	2
1st in	29/45	38/51	44/60	44/62	155/218
% 1st in	64%	75%	73%	71%	71%
1st pts	20/29	31/38	32/44	31/44	114/155
% 1st pts	69%	82%	73%	70%	74%
2nd pts	11/16	10/13	10/16	9/18	40/63
% 2nd pts	69%	77%	63%	50%	63%
Breaks
Won	5	3	3	3	14
Converted	5/9	3/6	3/6	3/5	14/26
Converted %	56%	50%	50%	60%	54%
Conceded	2	0	2	6	10
Saved	1/2	0/0	2/2	5/6	8
Saved %	50%	–	100%	83%	58%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1	2

Upcoming matches in the draw