Luca Nardi and Sumit Nagal will fight against each other in the final of the Chennai Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sumit Nagal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sumit Nagal is the pick to win this match.
Sumit Nagal -> 1.66
Luca Nardi -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Sumit Nagal
There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Sumit Nagal since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-27 | 13-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 114 (career-high), the Italian reached the final after beating Eric Vanshelboim 6-2 6-2, Bernard Tomic 7-5 6-3, Stefano Napolitano 6-4 3-6 6-0 and Chun Hsin Tseng 6-4 4-6 7-66.
In the semifinal, Nardi defeated Hsin Tseng (6-4 4-6 7-66). During the match, Nardi scored 113 points vs Hsin Tseng’s 103. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nardi managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 59% of his first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (26/41) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Hsin Tseng 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nardi has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Nardi has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (126-96). 5-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has a composed40-19 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Luca’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Chennai Challenger.
Luca has a compiled 5-3 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Chennai Challenger
Sumit Nagal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-29 | 15-13 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 9-8 | 32-17 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-18 | 0-1 | 16-17 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-26 | 1-4 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121 (career-high), Nagal reached the final after defeating S D Prajwal Dev 6-1 6-2, Giovanni Fonio 7-5 6-2, Dominik Palan 6-3 6-3 and Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Sumit had a good straight sets win against Svrcina (6-3 6-4). During the match Nagal scored 63 points vs Svrcina’s 54. Nagal was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Nagal was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sumit Nagal lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 71% of his first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The Indian broke Svrcina 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Indian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Sumit’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Chennai Challenger.
The Indian has a composed 8-2 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Chennai Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 72 |
| Pts | 336-281 | 247-185 |
| Total Points | 617 | 432 |
| Winners | 121 | 114 |
| %Winners | 36% | 46% |
Both Nardi and Nagal played 4 matches. At the moment, Luca Nardi dropped 2 sets while Sumit Nagal hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nardi has played 2 sets more than Nagal (10 vs 8). Therefore, Nardi played 23 games more than Nagal. Luca scored 121 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Sumit scored 114 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 178/284 | 155/218 |
| %1st in | 63% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 121/178 | 114/155 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 64/106 | 40/63 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 63% |
Nardi blasted 11 aces (2.8 per match). Nagal struck 5 aces (1.3 per match). Nardi won 68% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nagal won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 14 |
| Converted | 18/40 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 45% | 54% |
| Conceded | 23 | 10 |
| Saved | 13 | 8 |
| % Saved | 57% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 2 |
Luca broke his opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 10 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Sumit broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Sumit conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nardi | ||||||
| R1 Vanshelboim |
R2 Tomic |
1/4 Napolitano |
1/2 Hsin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-0 | 6-4 4-6 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 25 | 33 | 95 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 75-61 | 86-77 | 113-103 | 336-281 | |
| Total points | 102 | 136 | 163 | 216 | 617 | |
| Winners | 23 | 33 | 24 | 41 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 28% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 29/47 | 47/71 | 42/65 | 60/101 | 178/284 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 66% | 65% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 33/47 | 24/42 | 41/60 | 121/178 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 70% | 57% | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 16/24 | 13/23 | 26/41 | 64/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 57% | 63% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/5 | 7/18 | 3/9 | 18/40 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 60% | 39% | 33% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 5/6 | 1/6 | 5/8 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 83% | 17% | 63% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
| Nagal | ||||||
| R1 D Prajwal Dev |
R2 Fonio |
1/4 Palan |
1/2 Svrcina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 72 | |
| pts | 59-37 | 58-44 | 67-50 | 63-54 | 247-185 | |
| Total points | 96 | 102 | 117 | 117 | 432 | |
| Winners | 20 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 53% | 48% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/45 | 38/51 | 44/60 | 44/62 | 155/218 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 75% | 73% | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 20/29 | 31/38 | 32/44 | 31/44 | 114/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 82% | 73% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 10/13 | 10/16 | 9/18 | 40/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 77% | 63% | 50% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 3/5 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 5/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 100% | 83% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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