Beatriz Haddad Maia and Daria Kasatkina will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Beatriz Haddad Maia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Beatriz Haddad Maia is the pick to win this match.
Beatriz Haddad Maia -> 1.78
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 3rd time that Beatriz Haddad Maia and Daria Kasatkina square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Haddad Maia (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Haddad Maia won 6-4 6-1 in the semifinal in Zhuhai back in 2023.
Beatriz Haddad Maia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-27 | 25-17 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 16-14 | 13-5 | 4-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-23 | 23-14 | 14-5 | 2-2 | 12-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 76-25 | 37-13 | 35-10 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-2 | 27-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Beatriz reached the semifinal after defeating Xiyu Wang 6-2 7-64, Magda Linette 7-66 6-71 6-1 and Ons Jabeur 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Haddad Maia had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-3 6-4). During the match, Haddad Maia scored 69 points vs Jabeur’s 55. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Haddad Maia wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Haddad Maia put 78% of her first serves in, winning 69% (35/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the 2nd serve. Beatriz broke Jabeur 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Beatriz has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Haddad Maia has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (341-174). 6-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Haddad Maia has a composed 169-84 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Haddad Maia has a compiled 6-3 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Kasatkina got to the semifinal after defeating Diane Parry 6-4 5-7 6-4, Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 7-5 and Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-0.
In the quarter, Kasatkina had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-2 6-0). During the match Kasatkina scored 66 points vs Cirstea’s 47. Kasatkina was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 72% of her first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Cirstea 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Kasatkina’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Darya has a composed 8-3 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Haddad Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 67 |
| Pts | 267-229 | 238-215 |
| Total Points | 496 | 453 |
| Winners | 130 | 106 |
| %Winners | 49% | 45% |
Both Haddad Maia and Kasatkina played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost 1 set, while Daria Kasatkina conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Haddad Maia and Kasatkina have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Haddad Maia played 6 games more than Kasatkina. Haddad Maia scored 130 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 106 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Haddad Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 193/254 | 166/235 |
| %1st in | 76% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 130/193 | 106/166 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 33/61 | 37/69 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 54% |
Haddad Maia scored 2 aces (0.7 per match). Kasatkina blasted 5 aces (1.7 per match). Haddad Maia won 67% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Haddad Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 14 |
| Converted | 10/25 | 14/24 |
| % Converted | 40% | 58% |
| Conceded | 18 | 15 |
| Saved | 14 | 10 |
| % Saved | 78% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
The Brazilian broke her opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Beatriz lost her serve 4 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded. Darya broke her opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Haddad Maia | |||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Linette |
1/4 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-64 | 7-66 6-71 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 33 | 19 | 73 | |
| pts | 70-60 | 128-114 | 69-55 | 267-229 | |
| Total points | 130 | 242 | 124 | 496 | |
| Winners | 36 | 59 | 35 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 46% | 51% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 49/63 | 93/126 | 51/65 | 193/254 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 74% | 78% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 36/49 | 59/93 | 35/51 | 130/193 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 63% | 69% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 18/33 | 8/14 | 33/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 55% | 57% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/13 | 3/5 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 31% | 60% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 9/11 | 4/5 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 82% | 80% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Kasatkina | |||||
| R1 Parry |
R2 Krueger |
1/4 Cirstea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 21 | 14 | 67 | |
| pts | 100-103 | 72-65 | 66-47 | 238-215 | |
| Total points | 203 | 137 | 113 | 453 | |
| Winners | 47 | 31 | 28 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 43% | 42% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 76/114 | 48/63 | 42/58 | 166/235 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 76% | 72% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 47/76 | 31/48 | 28/42 | 106/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 65% | 67% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 9/15 | 8/16 | 37/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 60% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/8 | 5/10 | 14/24 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 50% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 100% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLWWWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Abu Dhabi
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Marcel GranollersGranollers (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Laurynas GrigelisGrigelis (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
