Hubert Hurkacz and Ugo Humbert will square off in the semifinal of the Open 13 Provence for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.533
Ugo Humbert -> 2.5
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 4th time that Hubert Hurkacz and Ugo Humbert face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Hurkacz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Hurkacz won 3-6 6-1 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Highlights Hubert Hurkacz vs Ugo Humbert – Australian Open 20-January-2024
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 11-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-13 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Hubert reached the semifinal after defeating Alexander Shevchenko 6-1 6-4 and Tomas Machac 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Hubert had a good straight sets win against Machac (6-3 6-4). During the match, Hurkacz scored 56 points vs Machac’s 43. Hubert was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Hurkacz blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Hubert Hurkacz was extremely effective on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Hubert broke Machac twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hurkacz hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points he played.
Hurkacz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (360-215). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Hurkacz has an overall 62-51 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Pole’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Australia.
Hurkacz has an overall 10-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marseille
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-8 | 11-4 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Humbert reached the semifinal after defeating Hugo Gaston 2-6 6-1 6-3 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-1 6-4). During the match Humbert scored 59 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 38. Humbert was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Humbert managed to score 7 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ugo Humbert was very effective on serve to win 92% (24/26) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Davidovich Fokina 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Humbert has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marseille
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hurkacz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 41 |
| Pts | 122-82 | 137-104 |
| Total Points | 204 | 241 |
| Winners | 50 | 49 |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% |
Both Hurkacz and Humbert played 2 matches. At the moment, Ugo Humbert surrendered 1 set while Hubert Hurkacz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Hurkacz has played 1 set(s) less than Humbert (4 vs 5). Therefore, Hurkacz played 5 games less than Humbert. Hubert scored 50 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo fired 49 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hurkacz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 6 |
| 1st in | 58/96 | 61/113 |
| %1st in | 60% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 50/58 | 49/61 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 24/38 | 29/52 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 56% |
Hurkacz scored 24 aces (12 per match). Humbert recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Hurkacz won 86% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hurkacz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/12 | 8/19 |
| % Converted | 58% | 42% |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 60% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Pole broke his opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Hubert conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Humbert broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hurkacz | ||||
| R2 Shevchenko |
1/4 Machac |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 66-39 | 56-43 | 122-82 | |
| Total points | 105 | 99 | 204 | |
| Winners | 22 | 28 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 50% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 11 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 27/47 | 31/49 | 58/96 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 63% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 28/31 | 50/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 90% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/18 | 24/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 67% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/4 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | – | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Humbert | ||||
| R2 Gaston |
1/4 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 17 | 41 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 59-38 | 137-104 | |
| Total points | 144 | 97 | 241 | |
| Winners | 25 | 24 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 41% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/68 | 26/45 | 61/113 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 58% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 24/26 | 49/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 92% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 12/19 | 29/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 63% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/8 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 38% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
LWLLWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Marseille
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Bart Stevens/Petros TsitsipasStevens/Petros Tsitsipas (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Patrik Niklas-Salminen/Emil RuusuvuoriNiklas-Salminen/Emil Ruusuvuori – Andreas Mies/John-Patrick SmithMies/John-Patrick Smith (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Machac/Zhizhen ZhangMachac/Zhizhen Zhang – Harri Heliovaara/John PeersHeliovaara/John Peers (6-4 3-6 10-6) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
