H2H, prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko in Rome with odds, preview, pick | 15th May 2024

PREVIEW. Rome. Sabalenka and Ostapenko will fight against each other in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 15th of May

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jelena Ostapenko

Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko will square off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.363
Jelena Ostapenko -> 3.14

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jelena Ostapenko

This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 2-6 6-1 6-1 in the 3rd round in Dubai back in 2023.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko – Dubai 22-February-2023

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

23 - 6win/loss

Hard
14-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-2
Rank
2
High
1
LWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 25-7 14-4 11-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, the Belarussian got to the quarter after beating Katie Volynets 4-6 6-3 6-2, Dayana Yastremska 6-4 6-2 and Elina Svitolina 4-6 6-1 7-67.

In the 4th round against Svitolina, Sabalenka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-67). During the match, Sabalenka scored 106 points vs Svitolina’s 97. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka struck 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 5 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 72% of her first serves in, winning 58% (49/85) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Svitolina 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sabalenka has conceded 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (341-160). 9-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a compiled71-37 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Aryna has a composed 23-6 win-loss record in 2024, 9-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Sabalenka
Rome
Sabalenka's Record

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko

24 - 9win/loss

Hard
13-6
I Hard
4-0
Clay
7-3
Rank
10
High
5
LWWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-10 13-6 7-4 4-0 0-0 0-0
2023 37-22 21-15 7-4 1-1 8-2 0-0
2022 33-19 19-10 3-3 3-3 8-3 0-0
2021 32-19 12-9 5-4 7-4 8-2 0-0
2020 9-8 3-2 4-3 2-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 10, the Latvian got to the quarter after beating Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-2, Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-4 5-7 6-1 and Rebecca Sramkova 4-6 6-4 7-63.

In the 4th round against Sramkova, Ostapenko recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-63). During the match Ostapenko scored 113 points vs Sramkova’s 111. Ostapenko was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Ostapenko bagged 7 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 6 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 58% (36/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (22/46) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Sramkova 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Latvian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Linz where she overcame Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-2 6-3.

Jelena has a compiled 24-9 win-loss record in 2024, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See her history.

Ostapenko
Rome
Ostapenko's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
J.Ostapenko
6h:05
6h:05
Time on court​
6h:56
6h:56
!
2h:24
2h:24
Last match​
!
2h:46
2h:46
3
3
Match played
3
3
75
75
Games Played​
80
80
8
8
Set played​​
8
8
277
277
Total points​
292
292
92.3
92.3
Avg point​
97.3
97.3
117
117
Winners
93
93
39
39
Avg Winners​
31
31
42%
42%
Ratio winners
32%
32%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
8
8
2.3
2.3
Avg Aces
2.7
2.7
8
8
Double Faults
14
14
2.7
2.7
Avg Double Faults
4.7
4.7
117/186
117/186
1st won total​
93/161
93/161
63%
63%
1st won %
58%
58%
41/80
41/80
2nd won total​
58/127
58/127
51%
51%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
16/30
16/30
BP won
21/40
21/40
5.3/10
5.3/10
Avg BP won
7/13.3
7/13.3
!
53%
53%
Won
!
53%
53%
36
36
Conceded
38
38
12
12
Avg Conceded
12.7
12.7
10
10
Broken
16
16
3.3
3.3
Avg Broken
!
5.3
5.3
26
26
Saved
22
22

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Ostapenko
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 8 8
Tot Games 75 80
Pts 277-238 292-268
Total Points 515 560
Winners 117 93
%Winners 42% 32%

Both Sabalenka and Ostapenko played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka lost 2 sets, while Jelena Ostapenko dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Ostapenko have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Sabalenka played 5 games less than Ostapenko. The Belarussian scored 117 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Latvian scored 93 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Ostapenko
Aces 7 8
Avg per match 2.3 2.7
1st in 186/266 161/288
%1st in 70% 56%
1st pts 117/186 93/161
%1st pts 63% 58%
2nd pts 41/80 58/127
%2nd pts 51% 46%

Sabalenka made 7 aces (2.3 per match). Ostapenko scored 8 aces (2.7 per match). Sabalenka won 63% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 58% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Ostapenko
Won 16 21
Converted 16/30 21/40
% Converted 53% 53%
Conceded 36 38
Saved 26 22
% Saved 72% 58%
Times Broken 10 16

Sabalenka broke her opponents 16 times with a 53% conversion rate. Aryna lost her serve 10 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Jelena broke her opponents 21 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Latvian conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R2
Volynets
R3
Yastremska
R4
Svitolina
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-2 4-6 6-1 7-67
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 27 18 30 75
pts 103-89 68-52 106-97 277-238
Total points 192 120 203 515
Winners 43 25 49 117
%Winners 42% 37% 46% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 3 7
Double Faults 4 3 1 8
1st in 68/98 33/50 85/118 186/266
% 1st in 69% 66% 72% 70%
1st pts 43/68 25/33 49/85 117/186
% 1st pts 63% 76% 58% 63%
2nd pts 12/30 13/17 16/33 41/80
% 2nd pts 40% 76% 48% 51%
Breaks
Won 7 3 6 16
Converted 7/13 3/10 6/7 16/30
Converted % 54% 30% 86% 53%
Conceded 16 2 18 36
Saved 11/16 2/2 13/18 26
Saved % 69% 100% 72% 80%
Times Broken 5 0 5 10
Ostapenko
R2
Potapova
R3
Sorribes Tormo
R4
Sramkova
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-4 5-7 6-1 4-6 6-4 7-63
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 18 29 33 80
pts 73-63 106-94 113-111 292-268
Total points 136 200 224 560
Winners 25 32 36 93
%Winners 34% 30% 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 7 8
Double Faults 2 6 6 14
1st in 39/76 60/104 62/108 161/288
% 1st in 51% 58% 57% 56%
1st pts 25/39 32/60 36/62 93/161
% 1st pts 64% 53% 58% 58%
2nd pts 16/37 20/44 22/46 58/127
% 2nd pts 43% 45% 48% 46%
Breaks
Won 6 9 6 21
Converted 6/10 9/18 6/12 21/40
Converted % 60% 50% 50% 53%
Conceded 9 14 15 38
Saved 6/9 7/14 9/15 22
Saved % 67% 50% 60% 59%
Times Broken 3 7 6 16

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sabalenka
LWWWWWLWWW
Ostapenko
LWWWLWWLWL
2024 2023 2022
25 - 7
24 - 10
14-4
Hard
13-6
0-0
I Hard
4-0
11-3
Clay
7-4

Tennis Scores in Rome

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw