Illya Marchenko and Tennys Sandgren will face off in the qualifications of the Dallas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tennys Sandgren who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tennys Sandgren is the pick to win this match.
Tennys Sandgren -> 1.65
Illya Marchenko -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Illya Marchenko vs. Tennys Sandgren
This will be the 2nd time that Illya Marchenko and Tennys Sandgren fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sandgren (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sandgren won 6-2 6-1 in the 1st round in the Columbus Challenger back in 2023.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 228, the Ukrainian got to the qualifications after beating Brandon Holt 7-63 6-74 7-61.
In the qualifications, Illya defeated Holt (7-63 6-74 7-61). During the match, Marchenko scored 123 points vs Holt’s 116. The Ukrainian was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Marchenko struck 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Illya Marchenko was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (42/55) of his 1st serve and 51% (29/57) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 5 times. Marchenko broke Holt 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Marchenko has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (260-201). 1-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Marchenko has a composed 120-68 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Marchenko has an overall 1-3 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dallas
Illya has never competed in this tournament before.
Tennys Sandgren
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-9 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-25 | 20-19 | 0-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-23 | 19-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-24 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 266, Sandgren got to the qualifications after defeating Sho Shimabukuro 6-2 7-62.
In the qualifications, Tennys had a good straight sets win against Shimabukuro (6-2 7-62). During the match Sandgren scored 68 points vs Shimabukuro’s 54. Tennys was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Sandgren scored 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tennys Sandgren lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sandgren put 64% of his first serves in, winning 85% (33/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Shimabukuro 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
The American has a composed 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Marchenko | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 21 |
| Pts | 123-116 | 68-54 |
| Total Points | 239 | 122 |
| Winners | 42 | 33 |
| %Winners | 34% | 49% |
Both Marchenko and Sandgren played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Illya Marchenko surrendered 1 set while Tennys Sandgren hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Marchenko has played 1 set more than Sandgren (3 vs 2). Therefore, Marchenko played 18 games more than Sandgren. The Ukrainian scored 42 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Sandgren recorded 33 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Marchenko | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 15 |
| 1st in | 55/112 | 39/61 |
| %1st in | 49% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 33/39 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 29/57 | 10/22 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 45% |
Marchenko scored 9 aces . Sandgren fired 15 aces . Marchenko won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Sandgren won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Marchenko | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 45% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 1 |
| % Saved | 17% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
The Ukrainian broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Marchenko dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 17% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sandgren conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Marchenko | |||
| Q1 Holt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-74 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 39 | |
| pts | 123-116 | 123-116 | |
| Total points | 239 | 239 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 55/112 | 55/112 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 42/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/57 | 29/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/6 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 17% | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Sandgren | |||
| Q1 Shimabukuro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 68-54 | 68-54 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/61 | 39/61 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 33/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 10/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Illya MarchenkoMarchenko (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Max PurcellPurcell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Constant LestienneLestienne (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Adam NeffNeff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Christopher EubanksEubanks (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – Denis KudlaKudla (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Steve JohnsonJohnson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
