Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Korda will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 9:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.44
Sebastian Korda -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 3rd time that Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Korda clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rublev won 6-2 6-3 in the final in Gijon back in 2022.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Korda – Gijon 16-October-2022
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the Russian got to the 3rd round after defeating Thiago Seyboth Wild 7-5 6-4 3-6 4-6 7-66 and Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Eubanks (6-4 6-4 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 100 points vs Eubanks’s 74. Andrey was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev made 10 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (51/60) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Eubanks 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (396-220). 6-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has a composed 159-82 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4.
Rublev has an aggregate 6-0 win-loss record in 2024, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-10 | 6-4 | 6-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-1 |
Ranked no. 26, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-4 2-6 4-6 6-2 and Quentin Halys 6-4 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Halys (6-4 6-4 6-4). During the match Korda scored 114 points vs Halys’s 94. Sebastian was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Korda managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Sebastian Korda was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (38/50) of his 1st serve and 74% (25/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sebastian broke Halys 3 times after converting 18% of his break points (3/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Korda has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Korda has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 73 |
| Pts | 285-245 | 258-216 |
| Total Points | 530 | 474 |
| Winners | 134 | 90 |
| %Winners | 47% | 35% |
Both Rublev and Korda played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev dropped 2 sets, while Sebastian Korda dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Korda have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Rublev played 11 games more than Korda. Rublev scored 134 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian struck 90 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 15.5 | 12 |
| 1st in | 160/233 | 120/200 |
| %1st in | 69% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 134/160 | 90/120 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 39/73 | 48/80 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 60% |
Rublev recorded 31 aces (15.5 per match). Korda scored 24 aces (12 per match). Rublev won 84% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/33 | 11/35 |
| % Converted | 21% | 31% |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Saved | 7 | 3 |
| % Saved | 64% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Andrey broke his opponents 7 times with a 21% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Korda broke his opponents 11 times with a 31% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R1 Seyboth |
R2 Eubanks |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 3-6 4-6 7-66 | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 54 | 30 | 84 | |
| pts | 185-171 | 100-74 | 285-245 | |
| Total points | 356 | 174 | 530 | |
| Winners | 83 | 51 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 21 | 10 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 100/154 | 60/79 | 160/233 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 76% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 83/100 | 51/60 | 134/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 85% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/54 | 14/19 | 39/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 74% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/23 | 3/10 | 7/33 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 30% | 21% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Korda | ||||
| R1 Kopriva |
R2 Halys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 2-6 4-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 43 | 30 | 73 | |
| pts | 144-122 | 114-94 | 258-216 | |
| Total points | 266 | 208 | 474 | |
| Winners | 52 | 38 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 70/116 | 50/84 | 120/200 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 52/70 | 38/50 | 90/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/46 | 25/34 | 48/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 74% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 8/18 | 3/17 | 11/35 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 18% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/8 | 1/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 100% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWWLW
LWLLWWWWWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Casper RuudRuud – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-75 6-3 3-6 7-67) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-3 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 4-6 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-5 2-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Hugo GastonGaston (6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-2 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-65 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 7-66 6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-1 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 3-6 6-75 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-3 6-3 1-6 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Pavel KotovKotov (7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 3-6 7-6(7)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Lukas KleinKlein (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sumit NagalNagal – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jack DraperDraper (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Andrey RublevRublev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
