Varvara Gracheva and Dayana Yastremska will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:30 pm on Court 8. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dayana Yastremska who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dayana Yastremska is the pick to win this match.
Dayana Yastremska -> 1.89
Varvara Gracheva -> 1.92
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Dayana Yastremska
There is no head to head record between Varvara Gracheva and Dayana Yastremska since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-23 | 7-11 | 15-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39 (career-high), Gracheva reached the 2nd round after beating Yanina Wickmayer 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Wickmayer (6-3 6-4). During the match, Gracheva scored 66 points vs Wickmayer’s 57. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gracheva managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 71% of her first serves in, winning 68% (34/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. Varvara broke Wickmayer 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Gracheva has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 59% of her matches (239-165). 4-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gracheva has a composed67-63 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Varvara has a composed 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Dayana Yastremska
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-18 | 12-9 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-29 | 19-13 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 7-11 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 10-7 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 93, Yastremska reached the 2nd round after defeating Lea Boskovic 6-3 4-6 6-3, Valentini Grammatikopoulou 6-4 3-6 6-4, Maya Joint 6-2 1-6 6-4 and Marketa Vondrousova 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, Yastremska had a good straight sets win against Vondrousova (6-1 6-2). During the match Yastremska scored 67 points vs Vondrousova’s 44. Yastremska was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Yastremska blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Dayana Yastremska lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Yastremska put 69% of her first serves in, winning 71% (32/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. Yastremska broke Vondrousova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Yastremska has an aggregate 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gracheva | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 97 |
| Pts | 66-57 | 331-296 |
| Total Points | 123 | 627 |
| Winners | 34 | 126 |
| %Winners | 52% | 38% |
Gracheva played 1 match while Yastremska competed in 4 matches. Yastremska started her run from the qualifications while Gracheva had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Dayana Yastremska dropped 3 sets while Varvara Gracheva hasn’t lost a set so far. Gracheva has played 9 set(s) less than Yastremska (2 vs 11). Therefore, Gracheva played 78 games less than Yastremska. Varvara scored 34 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Dayana bagged 126 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gracheva | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 50/70 | 187/319 |
| %1st in | 71% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 34/50 | 126/187 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 8/20 | 57/132 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 43% |
Gracheva fired 2 aces . Yastremska managed to score 5 aces (1.3 per match). Gracheva won 68% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gracheva | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 23 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 23/36 |
| % Converted | 57% | 64% |
| Conceded | 7 | 27 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 71% | 41% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 16 |
Gracheva broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Gracheva conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Dayana broke her opponents 23 times with a 64% conversion rate. Dayana conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 41% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gracheva | |||
| R1 Wickmayer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 66-57 | 66-57 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 50/70 | 50/70 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 34/50 | 34/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/20 | 8/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Yastremska | ||||||
| Q1 Boskovic |
Q2 Grammatikopoulou |
Q3 Joint |
R1 Vondrousova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | 6-2 1-6 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 29 | 25 | 15 | 97 | |
| pts | 93-77 | 91-92 | 80-83 | 67-44 | 331-296 | |
| Total points | 170 | 183 | 163 | 111 | 627 | |
| Winners | 30 | 34 | 30 | 32 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 37% | 38% | 48% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 38/78 | 56/100 | 48/76 | 45/65 | 187/319 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 56% | 63% | 69% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 34/56 | 30/48 | 32/45 | 126/187 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 61% | 63% | 71% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 16/44 | 11/28 | 8/20 | 57/132 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 36% | 39% | 40% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 8/11 | 5/5 | 5/10 | 23/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 73% | 100% | 50% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 27 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 5/13 | 1/5 | 3/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 38% | 20% | 75% | 173% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLLLW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Emma NavarroNavarro – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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