Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Sonego will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.034
Lorenzo Sonego -> 11.75

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Sonego fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sonego (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sonego won 6-3 7-6(6) in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2021.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWLWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-6 12-4 22-1 5-0 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the 2nd round after beating Richard Gasquet 7-65 6-1 6-2.

In the 1st round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Gasquet (7-65 6-1 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 121 points vs Gasquet’s 90. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz made 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was quite effective on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 66% (21/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carlos broke Gasquet 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).

Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (234-63). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate76-20 record in the last 7 years on hard.

Carlos has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Alcaraz's Record

Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
36
High
21
LWLWLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-20 9-9 1-5 1-2 5-4 0-0
2024 27-33 10-14 10-11 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 30-31 10-12 9-7 9-8 2-4 0-0
2022 30-29 7-9 8-11 10-5 5-4 0-0
2021 30-24 9-11 9-4 6-6 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 46, Sonego reached the 2nd round after beating Daniel Evans 4-6 7-68 6-2 7-64.

In the 1st round against Evans, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-68 6-2 7-64). During the match Sonego scored 144 points vs Evans’s 130. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 72 winners.

Talking about serving, Sonego buried his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (72/88) of his 1st serve and 53% (24/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Evans twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

The Italian has an overall 2-3 win-loss record in 2024, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.

Australian Open
Sonego's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

C.Alcaraz
L.Sonego
2h:22
2h:22
Time on court​
!
3h:43
3h:43
!
2h:22
2h:22
Last match​
!
3h:43
3h:43
1
1
Match played
1
1
28
28
Games Played​
44
44
3
3
Set played​​
4
4
121
121
Total points​
144
144
121
121
Avg point​
144
144
45
45
Winners
72
72
45
45
Avg Winners​
72
72
37%
37%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
23
23
9
9
Avg Aces
!
23
23
3
3
Double Faults
1
1
3
3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
45/62
45/62
1st won total​
72/88
72/88
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
21/32
21/32
2nd won total​
24/45
24/45
!
66%
66%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
4/16
4/16
BP won
2/10
2/10
4/16
4/16
Avg BP won
2/10
2/10
!
25%
25%
Won
!
20%
20%
2
2
Conceded
6
6
2
2
Avg Conceded
6
6
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Sonego
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 4
Tot Games 28 44
Pts 121-90 144-130
Total Points 211 274
Winners 45 72
%Winners 37% 50%

Both Alcaraz and Sonego played 1 match. At the moment, Lorenzo Sonego dropped 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Sonego (3 vs 4). Therefore, Alcaraz played 16 games less than Sonego. The Spaniard scored 45 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Sonego recorded 72 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Sonego
Aces 9 23
Avg per match 9 23
1st in 62/94 88/133
%1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 45/62 72/88
%1st pts 73% 82%
2nd pts 21/32 24/45
%2nd pts 66% 53%

Alcaraz blasted 9 aces . Sonego bagged 23 aces . Alcaraz won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Sonego
Won 4 2
Converted 4/16 2/10
% Converted 25% 20%
Conceded 2 6
Saved 2 5
% Saved 100% 83%
Times Broken 0 1

The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. Carlos was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Sonego broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Sonego conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Gasquet
Total
Score 7-65 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 121-90 121-90
Total points 211 211
Winners 45 45
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 62/94 62/94
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 45/62 45/62
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 21/32 21/32
% 2nd pts 66% 66%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/16 4/16
Converted % 25% 25%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Sonego
R1
Evans
Total
Score 4-6 7-68 6-2 7-64
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 44 44
pts 144-130 144-130
Total points 274 274
Winners 72 72
%Winners 50% 50%
SERVE
Aces 23 23
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 88/133 88/133
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 72/88 72/88
% 1st pts 82% 82%
2nd pts 24/45 24/45
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/10 2/10
Converted % 20% 20%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 83%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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