Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Sonego will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.034
Lorenzo Sonego -> 11.75
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Sonego
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Sonego fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sonego (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sonego won 6-3 7-6(6) in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2021.
Carlos Alcaraz
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 18-5 | 13-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the 2nd round after beating Richard Gasquet 7-65 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Gasquet (7-65 6-1 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 121 points vs Gasquet’s 90. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz made 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was quite effective on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 66% (21/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carlos broke Gasquet 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (234-63). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate76-20 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Carlos has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Lorenzo Sonego
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 13-15 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Sonego reached the 2nd round after beating Daniel Evans 4-6 7-68 6-2 7-64.
In the 1st round against Evans, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-68 6-2 7-64). During the match Sonego scored 144 points vs Evans’s 130. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 72 winners.
Talking about serving, Sonego buried his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (72/88) of his 1st serve and 53% (24/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Evans twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
The Italian has an overall 2-3 win-loss record in 2024, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Alcaraz | Sonego |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
Tot Games | 28 | 44 |
Pts | 121-90 | 144-130 |
Total Points | 211 | 274 |
Winners | 45 | 72 |
%Winners | 37% | 50% |
Both Alcaraz and Sonego played 1 match. At the moment, Lorenzo Sonego dropped 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Sonego (3 vs 4). Therefore, Alcaraz played 16 games less than Sonego. The Spaniard scored 45 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Sonego recorded 72 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Alcaraz | Sonego |
---|---|---|
Aces | 9 | 23 |
Avg per match | 9 | 23 |
1st in | 62/94 | 88/133 |
%1st in | 66% | 66% |
1st pts | 45/62 | 72/88 |
%1st pts | 73% | 82% |
2nd pts | 21/32 | 24/45 |
%2nd pts | 66% | 53% |
Alcaraz blasted 9 aces . Sonego bagged 23 aces . Alcaraz won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Alcaraz | Sonego |
---|---|---|
Won | 4 | 2 |
Converted | 4/16 | 2/10 |
% Converted | 25% | 20% |
Conceded | 2 | 6 |
Saved | 2 | 5 |
% Saved | 100% | 83% |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. Carlos was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Sonego broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Sonego conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
Alcaraz | |||
R1 Gasquet |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-65 6-1 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
pts | 121-90 | 121-90 | |
Total points | 211 | 211 | |
Winners | 45 | 45 | |
%Winners | 37% | 37% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 9 | 9 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 62/94 | 62/94 | |
% 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
1st pts | 45/62 | 45/62 | |
% 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
2nd pts | 21/32 | 21/32 | |
% 2nd pts | 66% | 66% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/16 | 4/16 | |
Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Sonego | |||
R1 Evans |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 4-6 7-68 6-2 7-64 | ||
Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 44 | 44 | |
pts | 144-130 | 144-130 | |
Total points | 274 | 274 | |
Winners | 72 | 72 | |
%Winners | 50% | 50% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 23 | 23 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 88/133 | 88/133 | |
% 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
1st pts | 72/88 | 72/88 | |
% 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
2nd pts | 24/45 | 24/45 | |
% 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/10 | 2/10 | |
Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Head 2 Head
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