Andrey Rublev and Emil Ruusuvuori will fight against each other in the final of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.363
Emil Ruusuvuori -> 3.14

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Emil Ruusuvuori

This will be the 4^th time that Andrey Rublev and Emil Ruusuvuori fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Ruusuvuori won 7-6(10) 5-7 7-6(3) in the 2^nd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.

Highlights Emil Ruusuvuori vs Andrey Rublev – Cincinnati 15-August-2023

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Rublev reached the final after beating Liam Broady 6-4 7-6⁸, Arthur Fils 6-4 1-6 6-2 and Juncheng Shang 4-6 6-2 6-3.

In the semifinal against Shang, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 99 points vs Shang’s 77. Andrey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev fired 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 56% of his first serves in, winning 69% (38/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (29/43) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Shang 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Andrey has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (393-220). 3-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an overall 156-82 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Andrey’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Hong Kong.

The Russian has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hong Kong

Rublev has never competed in this tournament before.

Emil Ruusuvuori

Ranked no. 69, Ruusuvuori reached the final after beating Benjamin Bonzi 6-7⁵ 6-2 6-1, Karen Khachanov 7-6² 2-6 6-2, Pavel Kotov 6-3 7-6⁴ and Sebastian Ofner 4-6 7-5 6-3.

In the semifinal against Ofner, Ruusuvuori recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-3). During the match Ruusuvuori scored 102 points vs Ofner’s 86. The Finn was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.

About the serving games, Ruusuvuori managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Emil Ruusuvuori was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (48/60) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Finn broke Ofner 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Finn has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Ruusuvuori’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Hong Kong.

Ruusuvuori has an overall 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Ruusuvuori
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	8	11
Tot Games	75	110
Pts	271-222	392-341
Total Points	493	733
Winners	100	155
%Winners	37%	40%

Rublev played 3 matches while Ruusuvuori competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 2 sets, while Emil Ruusuvuori lost 3 sets. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Ruusuvuori (8 vs 11). Therefore, Rublev played 35 games less than Ruusuvuori. Andrey scored 100 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Emil scored 155 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Ruusuvuori
Aces	30	24
Avg per match	10	6
1st in	134/232	213/358
%1st in	58%	59%
1st pts	100/134	155/213
%1st pts	75%	73%
2nd pts	62/98	80/145
%2nd pts	63%	55%

Rublev recorded 30 aces (10 per match). Ruusuvuori bagged 24 aces (6 per match). Rublev won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Ruusuvuori won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Ruusuvuori
Won	9	16
Converted	9/28	16/48
% Converted	32%	33%
Conceded	23	25
Saved	18	16
% Saved	78%	64%
Times Broken	5	9

The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 32% conversion rate. Andrey dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The Finn broke his opponents 16 times with a 33% conversion rate. Emil conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R2 Broady	1/4 Fils	1/2 Shang	Total
Score	6-4 7-68	6-4 1-6 6-2	4-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	23	25	27	75
pts	87-73	85-72	99-77	271-222
Total points	160	157	176	493
Winners	31	31	38	100
%Winners	36%	36%	38%	37%
SERVE
Aces	10	8	12	30
Double Faults	3	0	1	4
1st in	38/69	41/65	55/98	134/232
% 1st in	55%	63%	56%	58%
1st pts	31/38	31/41	38/55	100/134
% 1st pts	82%	76%	69%	75%
2nd pts	18/31	15/24	29/43	62/98
% 2nd pts	58%	63%	67%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	9
Converted	3/10	3/10	3/8	9/28
Converted %	30%	30%	38%	32%
Conceded	3	6	14	23
Saved	1/3	4/6	13/14	18
Saved %	33%	67%	93%	64%
Times Broken	2	2	1	5

Ruusuvuori
	R1 Bonzi	R2 Khachanov	1/4 Kotov	1/2 Ofner	Total
Score	6-75 6-2 6-1	7-62 2-6 6-2	6-3 7-64	4-6 7-5 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	2	3	11
Tot Games	28	29	22	31	110
pts	114-97	101-94	75-64	102-86	392-341
Total points	211	195	139	188	733
Winners	33	41	33	48	155
%Winners	29%	41%	44%	47%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	5	9	24
Double Faults	4	3	0	1	8
1st in	51/98	58/96	44/76	60/88	213/358
% 1st in	52%	60%	58%	68%	59%
1st pts	33/51	41/58	33/44	48/60	155/213
% 1st pts	65%	71%	75%	80%	73%
2nd pts	25/47	20/38	19/32	16/28	80/145
% 2nd pts	53%	53%	59%	57%	55%
Breaks
Won	8	3	2	3	16
Converted	8/25	3/8	2/3	3/12	16/48
Converted %	32%	38%	67%	25%	33%
Conceded	7	8	6	4	25
Saved	4/7	5/8	5/6	2/4	16
Saved %	57%	63%	83%	50%	84%
Times Broken	3	3	1	2	9

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrey RublevRublev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (2-1) – H2H and prediction