Andrey Rublev and Emil Ruusuvuori will fight against each other in the final of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.363
Emil Ruusuvuori -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Emil Ruusuvuori
This will be the 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Emil Ruusuvuori fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Ruusuvuori won 7-6(10) 5-7 7-6(3) in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.
Highlights Emil Ruusuvuori vs Andrey Rublev – Cincinnati 15-August-2023
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-24 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Rublev reached the final after beating Liam Broady 6-4 7-68, Arthur Fils 6-4 1-6 6-2 and Juncheng Shang 4-6 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal against Shang, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 99 points vs Shang’s 77. Andrey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev fired 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 56% of his first serves in, winning 69% (38/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (29/43) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Shang 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (393-220). 3-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an overall 156-82 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Andrey’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Hong Kong.
The Russian has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Rublev has never competed in this tournament before.
Emil Ruusuvuori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-16 | 8-6 | 2-5 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-30 | 13-11 | 6-7 | 9-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 15-12 | 10-9 | 10-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-26 | 21-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-15 | 11-5 | 0-2 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, Ruusuvuori reached the final after beating Benjamin Bonzi 6-75 6-2 6-1, Karen Khachanov 7-62 2-6 6-2, Pavel Kotov 6-3 7-64 and Sebastian Ofner 4-6 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal against Ofner, Ruusuvuori recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-3). During the match Ruusuvuori scored 102 points vs Ofner’s 86. The Finn was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Ruusuvuori managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Emil Ruusuvuori was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (48/60) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Finn broke Ofner 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Finn has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Ruusuvuori’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Hong Kong.
Ruusuvuori has an overall 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 110 |
| Pts | 271-222 | 392-341 |
| Total Points | 493 | 733 |
| Winners | 100 | 155 |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% |
Rublev played 3 matches while Ruusuvuori competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 2 sets, while Emil Ruusuvuori lost 3 sets. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Ruusuvuori (8 vs 11). Therefore, Rublev played 35 games less than Ruusuvuori. Andrey scored 100 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Emil scored 155 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 6 |
| 1st in | 134/232 | 213/358 |
| %1st in | 58% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 100/134 | 155/213 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 62/98 | 80/145 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 55% |
Rublev recorded 30 aces (10 per match). Ruusuvuori bagged 24 aces (6 per match). Rublev won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Ruusuvuori won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 16 |
| Converted | 9/28 | 16/48 |
| % Converted | 32% | 33% |
| Conceded | 23 | 25 |
| Saved | 18 | 16 |
| % Saved | 78% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 9 |
The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 32% conversion rate. Andrey dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The Finn broke his opponents 16 times with a 33% conversion rate. Emil conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||||
| R2 Broady |
1/4 Fils |
1/2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-68 | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 25 | 27 | 75 | |
| pts | 87-73 | 85-72 | 99-77 | 271-222 | |
| Total points | 160 | 157 | 176 | 493 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | 38 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | 38% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 8 | 12 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/69 | 41/65 | 55/98 | 134/232 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 63% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 31/41 | 38/55 | 100/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 76% | 69% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 15/24 | 29/43 | 62/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 63% | 67% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | 3/8 | 9/28 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | 38% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 14 | 23 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 4/6 | 13/14 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 93% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Ruusuvuori | ||||||
| R1 Bonzi |
R2 Khachanov |
1/4 Kotov |
1/2 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-2 6-1 | 7-62 2-6 6-2 | 6-3 7-64 | 4-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 29 | 22 | 31 | 110 | |
| pts | 114-97 | 101-94 | 75-64 | 102-86 | 392-341 | |
| Total points | 211 | 195 | 139 | 188 | 733 | |
| Winners | 33 | 41 | 33 | 48 | 155 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 41% | 44% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 51/98 | 58/96 | 44/76 | 60/88 | 213/358 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 60% | 58% | 68% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/51 | 41/58 | 33/44 | 48/60 | 155/213 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 71% | 75% | 80% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/47 | 20/38 | 19/32 | 16/28 | 80/145 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | 59% | 57% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 8/25 | 3/8 | 2/3 | 3/12 | 16/48 | |
| Converted % | 32% | 38% | 67% | 25% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 25 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 5/8 | 5/6 | 2/4 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 63% | 83% | 50% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (2-1) – H2H and prediction
