Dominik Koepfer and Jakub Mensik will face off in the final of the Canberra Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominik Koepfer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dominik Koepfer is the pick to win this match.
Dominik Koepfer -> 1.74
Jakub Mensik -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Dominik Koepfer vs. Jakub Mensik
This will be the 2nd time that Dominik Koepfer and Jakub Mensik face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Mensik (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Mensik won 6-4 6-3 in the final in the Prague 2 Challenger back in 2023.
Dominik Koepfer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-19 | 10-6 | 6-9 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-19 | 7-6 | 24-5 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-14 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-30 | 10-12 | 10-9 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 8-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, Koepfer reached the final after defeating Zachary Svajda 6-2 6-4, Andrea Vavassori 6-4 6-4, David Goffin 7-65 6-3 and Gabriel Diallo 6-75 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal against Diallo, Koepfer recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 7-5 6-3). During the match, Koepfer scored 114 points vs Diallo’s 102. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Koepfer struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Dominik Koepfer was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (49/62) of his 1st serve and 62% (24/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Koepfer broke Diallo 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Koepfer has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (279-179). 4-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Koepfer has a compiled129-81 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Koepfer’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
Dominik has an overall 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
Jakub Mensik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-24 | 26-12 | 6-4 | 7-3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 10-6 | 17-11 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-16 | 18-4 | 17-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 167, the Czech got to the final after defeating Benjamin Hassan 6-3 7-5, Denis Yevseyev 6-4 6-4, Alexander Ritschard w/o and Brandon Nakashima 7-5 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (7-5 7-5). During the match Mensik scored 83 points vs Nakashima’s 78. Jakub was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Mensik scored 13 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Jakub Mensik was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (34/45) of his 1st serve and 51% (22/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mensik broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jakub hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Mensik’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
Mensik has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Koepfer | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 94 | 65 |
| Pts | 325-283 | 227-195 |
| Total Points | 608 | 422 |
| Winners | 144 | 86 |
| %Winners | 44% | 38% |
Koepfer played 4 matches while Mensik competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Dominik Koepfer lost 1 set while Jakub Mensik hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Koepfer has played 3 sets more than Mensik (9 vs 6). Therefore, Koepfer played 29 games more than Mensik. Dominik scored 144 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Jakub bagged 86 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Koepfer | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 194/304 | 114/207 |
| %1st in | 64% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 144/194 | 86/114 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 66/110 | 52/93 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 56% |
Koepfer bagged 10 aces (2.5 per match). Mensik blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Koepfer won 74% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Mensik won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Koepfer | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 10 |
| Converted | 11/34 | 10/18 |
| % Converted | 32% | 56% |
| Conceded | 18 | 15 |
| Saved | 15 | 12 |
| % Saved | 83% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The German broke his opponents 11 times with a 32% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Mensik broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Jakub conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Koepfer | ||||||
| R1 Svajda |
R2 Vavassori |
1/4 Goffin |
1/2 Diallo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-75 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 22 | 34 | 94 | |
| pts | 65-55 | 72-58 | 74-68 | 114-102 | 325-283 | |
| Total points | 120 | 130 | 142 | 216 | 608 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 37 | 49 | 144 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% | 50% | 43% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/65 | 39/54 | 56/84 | 62/101 | 194/304 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 72% | 67% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 32/39 | 37/56 | 49/62 | 144/194 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 82% | 66% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 9/15 | 18/28 | 24/39 | 66/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 60% | 64% | 62% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/13 | 2/4 | 3/9 | 11/34 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 15% | 50% | 33% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/0 | 6/7 | 3/4 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 86% | 75% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Mensik | ||||||
| R1 Hassan |
R2 Yevseyev |
1/4 Ritschard |
1/2 Nakashima |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | w/o | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | – | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | – | 24 | 65 | |
| pts | 76-64 | 68-53 | – | 83-78 | 227-195 | |
| Total points | 140 | 121 | – | 161 | 422 | |
| Winners | 27 | 25 | – | 34 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% | – | 41% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | – | 13 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | – | 7 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 38/64 | 31/55 | – | 45/88 | 114/207 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 56% | – | 51% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 25/31 | – | 34/45 | 86/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 81% | – | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/24 | – | 22/43 | 52/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 63% | – | 51% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | – | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/5 | – | 3/4 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 60% | – | 75% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | – | 8 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | – | 7/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | – | 88% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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