Thai Kwiatkowski and Egor Gerasimov will face off in the quarter of the Oeiras 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Egor Gerasimov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Egor Gerasimov is the pick to win this match.
Egor Gerasimov -> 1.86
Thai Kwiatkowski -> 1.86

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Prediction and head to head Thai Kwiatkowski vs. Egor Gerasimov

There is no head to head record between Thai Kwiatkowski and Egor Gerasimov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Thai Kwiatkowski

Thai Kwiatkowski

2 - 1win/loss

Rank
412
High
181
LWLLLLWLWW
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-19 19-8 1-7 4-3 0-1 0-0
2023 36-24 23-15 7-3 6-6 0-0 0-0
2022 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 19-24 5-9 9-6 5-7 0-2 0-0
2020 11-9 11-7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 322, the American reached the quarter after defeating Henrique Rocha 6-4 6-4 and Lorenzo Giustino 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Giustino (6-4 6-4). During the match, Kwiatkowski scored 74 points vs Giustino’s 58. The American was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kwiatkowski blasted 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Thai Kwiatkowski lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kwiatkowski put 58% of his first serves in, winning 81% (30/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Kwiatkowski broke Giustino 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kwiatkowski hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Kwiatkowski has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (191-136). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Kwiatkowski has a composed 30-25 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

The American has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Oeiras 1 Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Oeiras 1 Challenger
Kwiatkowski's Record

Egor Gerasimov

Egor Gerasimov

5 - 0win/loss

Rank
332
High
65
LLWLWLLWWL
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 29-32 16-17 0-3 13-12 0-0 0-0
2023 26-25 18-15 1-3 7-6 0-1 0-0
2022 17-16 8-10 7-5 2-1 0-0 0-0
2021 23-32 5-10 2-8 14-11 2-3 0-0
2020 18-15 6-6 1-3 11-6 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 366, the Belarussian got to the quarter after defeating Martyn Pawelski 7-64 4-6 6-1, Garrett Johns 1-6 6-3 7-61, Tiago Pereira 7-65 6-1 and Mathias Bourgue 6-4 2-6 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Egor defeated Bourgue (6-4 2-6 6-4).During the match Gerasimov scored less points (10) than Bourgue. In fact, the world no. 322 won 79 points vs Bourgue’s. That means that Gerasimov was more focused during the important points. Gerasimov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Gerasimov scored 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Egor Gerasimov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gerasimov put 73% of his first serves in, winning 68% (40/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the 2nd serve. Gerasimov broke Bourgue twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Egor has an aggregate 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Oeiras 1 Challenger
Gerasimov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Kwiatkowski
E.Gerasimov
2h:43
2h:43
Time on court​
!
7h:16
7h:16
1h:30
1h:30
Last match​
!
2h:05
2h:05
2
2
Match played
!
4
4
40
40
Games Played​
107
107
4
4
Set played​​
11
11
135
135
Total points​
333
333
67.5
67.5
Avg point​
83.3
83.3
58
58
Winners
156
156
29
29
Avg Winners​
39
39
43%
43%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
32
32
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
8
8
4
4
Double Faults
12
12
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3
3
58/68
58/68
1st won total​
156/212
156/212
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
24/46
24/46
2nd won total​
60/100
60/100
52%
52%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
6/16
6/16
BP won
9/18
9/18
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
2.3/4.5
2.3/4.5
38%
38%
Won
50%
50%
5
5
Conceded
14
14
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
2
2
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
3
3
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kwiatkowski Gerasimov
Match played 2 4
Tot Set 4 11
Tot Games 40 107
Pts 135-108 333-306
Total Points 243 639
Winners 58 156
%Winners 43% 47%

Kwiatkowski played 2 matches while Gerasimov competed in 4 matches. Gerasimov started his run from the qualifications while Kwiatkowski had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Egor Gerasimov surrendered 3 sets while Thai Kwiatkowski hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kwiatkowski has played 7 set(s) less than Gerasimov (4 vs 11). Therefore, Kwiatkowski played 67 games less than Gerasimov. Kwiatkowski scored 58 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Egor bagged 156 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kwiatkowski Gerasimov
Aces 17 32
Avg per match 8.5 8
1st in 68/114 212/312
%1st in 60% 68%
1st pts 58/68 156/212
%1st pts 85% 74%
2nd pts 24/46 60/100
%2nd pts 52% 60%

Kwiatkowski blasted 17 aces (8.5 per match). Gerasimov managed to score 32 aces (8 per match). Kwiatkowski won 85% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Gerasimov won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kwiatkowski Gerasimov
Won 6 9
Converted 6/16 9/18
% Converted 38% 50%
Conceded 5 14
Saved 3 7
% Saved 60% 50%
Times Broken 2 7

Kwiatkowski broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Gerasimov broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Egor conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Kwiatkowski
R1
Rocha		 R2
Giustino		 Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 20 40
pts 61-50 74-58 135-108
Total points 111 132 243
Winners 28 30 58
%Winners 46% 41% 43%
SERVE
Aces 8 9 17
Double Faults 0 4 4
1st in 31/50 37/64 68/114
% 1st in 62% 58% 60%
1st pts 28/31 30/37 58/68
% 1st pts 90% 81% 85%
2nd pts 12/19 12/27 24/46
% 2nd pts 63% 44% 52%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/8 4/8 6/16
Converted % 25% 50% 38%
Conceded 0 5 5
Saved 0/0 3/5 3
Saved % – 60% 30%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Gerasimov
Q1
Pawelski		 Q3
Johns		 R1
Pereira		 R2
Bourgue		 Total
Score 7-64 4-6 6-1 1-6 6-3 7-61 7-65 6-1 6-4 2-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 2 3 11
Tot Games 30 29 20 28 107
pts 93-75 87-87 74-55 79-89 333-306
Total points 168 174 129 168 639
Winners 45 42 29 40 156
%Winners 48% 48% 39% 51% 47%
SERVE
Aces 14 6 6 6 32
Double Faults 2 4 2 4 12
1st in 55/81 62/93 36/57 59/81 212/312
% 1st in 68% 67% 63% 73% 68%
1st pts 45/55 42/62 29/36 40/59 156/212
% 1st pts 82% 68% 81% 68% 74%
2nd pts 18/26 15/31 14/21 13/22 60/100
% 2nd pts 69% 48% 67% 59% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 3 2 2 9
Converted 2/4 3/6 2/3 2/5 9/18
Converted % 50% 50% 67% 40% 50%
Conceded 1 8 0 5 14
Saved 0/1 4/8 0/0 3/5 7
Saved % 0% 50% – 60% 55%
Times Broken 1 4 0 2 7

Upcoming matches in the draw

Kwiatkowski
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Gerasimov

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