Thai Kwiatkowski and Egor Gerasimov will face off in the quarter of the Oeiras 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Egor Gerasimov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Egor Gerasimov is the pick to win this match.
Egor Gerasimov -> 1.86
Thai Kwiatkowski -> 1.86
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Thai Kwiatkowski vs. Egor Gerasimov
There is no head to head record between Thai Kwiatkowski and Egor Gerasimov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Thai Kwiatkowski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 19-8 | 1-7 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 23-15 | 7-3 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-24 | 5-9 | 9-6 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-9 | 11-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 322, the American reached the quarter after defeating Henrique Rocha 6-4 6-4 and Lorenzo Giustino 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Giustino (6-4 6-4). During the match, Kwiatkowski scored 74 points vs Giustino’s 58. The American was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kwiatkowski blasted 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Thai Kwiatkowski lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kwiatkowski put 58% of his first serves in, winning 81% (30/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Kwiatkowski broke Giustino 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kwiatkowski hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Kwiatkowski has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (191-136). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Kwiatkowski has a composed 30-25 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The American has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 1 Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Egor Gerasimov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-32 | 16-17 | 0-3 | 13-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-25 | 18-15 | 1-3 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-16 | 8-10 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-32 | 5-10 | 2-8 | 14-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-15 | 6-6 | 1-3 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 366, the Belarussian got to the quarter after defeating Martyn Pawelski 7-64 4-6 6-1, Garrett Johns 1-6 6-3 7-61, Tiago Pereira 7-65 6-1 and Mathias Bourgue 6-4 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Egor defeated Bourgue (6-4 2-6 6-4).During the match Gerasimov scored less points (10) than Bourgue. In fact, the world no. 322 won 79 points vs Bourgue’s. That means that Gerasimov was more focused during the important points. Gerasimov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Gerasimov scored 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Egor Gerasimov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gerasimov put 73% of his first serves in, winning 68% (40/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the 2nd serve. Gerasimov broke Bourgue twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Egor has an aggregate 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kwiatkowski | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 107 |
| Pts | 135-108 | 333-306 |
| Total Points | 243 | 639 |
| Winners | 58 | 156 |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% |
Kwiatkowski played 2 matches while Gerasimov competed in 4 matches. Gerasimov started his run from the qualifications while Kwiatkowski had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Egor Gerasimov surrendered 3 sets while Thai Kwiatkowski hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kwiatkowski has played 7 set(s) less than Gerasimov (4 vs 11). Therefore, Kwiatkowski played 67 games less than Gerasimov. Kwiatkowski scored 58 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Egor bagged 156 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kwiatkowski | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 68/114 | 212/312 |
| %1st in | 60% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 58/68 | 156/212 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 60/100 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 60% |
Kwiatkowski blasted 17 aces (8.5 per match). Gerasimov managed to score 32 aces (8 per match). Kwiatkowski won 85% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Gerasimov won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kwiatkowski | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 9 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 60% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
Kwiatkowski broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Gerasimov broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Egor conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kwiatkowski | ||||
| R1 Rocha |
R2 Giustino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| pts | 61-50 | 74-58 | 135-108 | |
| Total points | 111 | 132 | 243 | |
| Winners | 28 | 30 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/50 | 37/64 | 68/114 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 58% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 30/37 | 58/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 81% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/27 | 24/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 44% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 4/8 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Gerasimov | ||||||
| Q1 Pawelski |
Q3 Johns |
R1 Pereira |
R2 Bourgue |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-1 | 1-6 6-3 7-61 | 7-65 6-1 | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 29 | 20 | 28 | 107 | |
| pts | 93-75 | 87-87 | 74-55 | 79-89 | 333-306 | |
| Total points | 168 | 174 | 129 | 168 | 639 | |
| Winners | 45 | 42 | 29 | 40 | 156 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | 39% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 14 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 55/81 | 62/93 | 36/57 | 59/81 | 212/312 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 63% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 45/55 | 42/62 | 29/36 | 40/59 | 156/212 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 68% | 81% | 68% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 15/31 | 14/21 | 13/22 | 60/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 48% | 67% | 59% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 2/5 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/8 | 0/0 | 3/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | – | 60% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWLWW
LLWLWLLWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gastao EliasElias – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thai KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Tristan LamasineLamasine (0-0) – H2H and prediction
