Brandon Nakashima and Jakub Mensik will face off in the semifinal of the Canberra Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.29
Jakub Mensik -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Jakub Mensik
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Jakub Mensik since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 134, the American reached the semifinal after defeating Alexandre Muller 5-7 7-67 7-65, Dino Prizmic 6-2 6-1 and Tristan Schoolkate 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Schoolkate (6-4 6-4). During the match, Nakashima scored 62 points vs Schoolkate’s 53. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nakashima managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Schoolkate twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (168-108). 3-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Nakashima has a composed87-57 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Brandon has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
Brandon has never competed in this tournament before.
Jakub Mensik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-24 | 26-12 | 6-4 | 7-3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 10-6 | 17-11 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-16 | 18-4 | 17-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 167, the Czech got to the semifinal after defeating Benjamin Hassan 6-3 7-5, Denis Yevseyev 6-4 6-4 and Alexander Ritschard w/o.
In the quarter, Mensik defeated Ritschard (w/o). During the match Mensik and Ritschard scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 134 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Jakub was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Mensik was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jakub Mensik conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mensik hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Czech has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 41 |
| Pts | 243-216 | 144-117 |
| Total Points | 459 | 261 |
| Winners | 119 | 52 |
| %Winners | 49% | 36% |
Nakashima played 3 matches while Mensik competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima dropped 1 set while Jakub Mensik hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nakashima has played 3 sets more than Mensik (7 vs 4). Therefore, Nakashima played 32 games more than Mensik. The American scored 119 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech recorded 52 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 36 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 148/233 | 69/119 |
| %1st in | 64% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 119/148 | 52/69 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 41/85 | 30/50 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 60% |
Nakashima struck 36 aces (12 per match). Mensik recorded 11 aces (5.5 per match). Nakashima won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Mensik won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/24 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Saved | 9 | 5 |
| % Saved | 82% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Mensik broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Czech conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | |||||
| R1 Muller |
R2 Prizmic |
1/4 Schoolkate |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-67 7-65 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 15 | 20 | 73 | |
| pts | 120-125 | 61-38 | 62-53 | 243-216 | |
| Total points | 245 | 99 | 115 | 459 | |
| Winners | 63 | 27 | 29 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 44% | 47% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 20 | 10 | 6 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 77/124 | 37/51 | 34/58 | 148/233 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 73% | 59% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 63/77 | 27/37 | 29/34 | 119/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 73% | 85% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 7/14 | 13/24 | 41/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 50% | 54% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 1/10 | 5/10 | 2/4 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 10% | 50% | 50% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 100% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Mensik | |||||
| R1 Hassan |
R2 Yevseyev |
1/4 Ritschard |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | – | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | – | 41 | |
| pts | 76-64 | 68-53 | – | 144-117 | |
| Total points | 140 | 121 | – | 261 | |
| Winners | 27 | 25 | – | 52 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% | – | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | – | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | – | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/64 | 31/55 | – | 69/119 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 56% | – | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 25/31 | – | 52/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 81% | – | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/24 | – | 30/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 63% | – | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | – | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/5 | – | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 60% | – | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | – | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | – | 5 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | – | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | – | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLLWLW
LWLWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Canberra Challenger
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander RitschardRitschard (w/o) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Matteo GiganteGigante (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – David GoffinGoffin (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Diego Hidalgo/Cristian RodriguezHidalgo/Cristian Rodriguez – Timofey Skatov/Denis YevseyevSkatov/Denis Yevseyev (w/o) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander RitschardRitschard (w/o) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Gabriel DialloDiallo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
