Dominik Koepfer and Gabriel Diallo will square off in the semifinal of the Canberra Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominik Koepfer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dominik Koepfer is the pick to win this match.
Dominik Koepfer -> 1.55
Gabriel Diallo -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Dominik Koepfer vs. Gabriel Diallo
This will be the 2nd time that Dominik Koepfer and Gabriel Diallo square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Koepfer (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Koepfer won 7-6(2) 6-1 in the semifinal in the Calgary Challenger back in 2022.
Dominik Koepfer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-19 | 10-6 | 6-9 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-19 | 7-6 | 24-5 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-14 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-30 | 10-12 | 10-9 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 8-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, Dominik reached the semifinal after beating Zachary Svajda 6-2 6-4, Andrea Vavassori 6-4 6-4 and David Goffin 7-65 6-3.
In the quarter, The German had a good straight sets win against Goffin (7-65 6-3). During the match, Koepfer scored 74 points vs Goffin’s 68. Koepfer was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Koepfer struck 3 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Dominik Koepfer lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Koepfer put 67% of his first serves in, winning 66% (37/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Goffin twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Koepfer has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (278-179). 3-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Koepfer has an overall128-81 record in the last 9 years on hard.
The German has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
Gabriel Diallo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-25 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, Gabriel got to the semifinal after defeating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-6 6-3 6-0, Rudolf Molleker 7-65 6-3 and Matteo Gigante 7-62 6-2.
In the quarter, Gabriel had a good straight sets win against Gigante (7-62 6-2). During the match Diallo scored 71 points vs Gigante’s 54. Diallo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Diallo made 14 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Gabriel Diallo was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (35/40) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Gabriel broke Gigante twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gabriel has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Gabriel has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Koepfer | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 68 |
| Pts | 211-181 | 224-180 |
| Total Points | 392 | 404 |
| Winners | 95 | 109 |
| %Winners | 45% | 49% |
Both Koepfer and Diallo played 3 matches. At the moment, Gabriel Diallo dropped 1 set while Dominik Koepfer hasn’t lost a set so far. Koepfer has played 1 set(s) less than Diallo (6 vs 7). Therefore, Koepfer played 8 games less than Diallo. The German scored 95 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Diallo recorded 109 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Koepfer | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 39 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 13 |
| 1st in | 132/203 | 135/201 |
| %1st in | 65% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 95/132 | 109/135 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 42/71 | 39/66 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 59% |
Koepfer fired 6 aces (2 per match). Diallo made 39 aces (13 per match). Koepfer won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Koepfer | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/25 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 32% | 50% |
| Conceded | 14 | 9 |
| Saved | 12 | 7 |
| % Saved | 86% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Dominik broke his opponents 8 times with a 32% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Diallo broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gabriel conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Koepfer | |||||
| R1 Svajda |
R2 Vavassori |
1/4 Goffin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 22 | 60 | |
| pts | 65-55 | 72-58 | 74-68 | 211-181 | |
| Total points | 120 | 130 | 142 | 392 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 37 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% | 50% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/65 | 39/54 | 56/84 | 132/203 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 72% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 32/39 | 37/56 | 95/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 82% | 66% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 9/15 | 18/28 | 42/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 60% | 64% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/13 | 2/4 | 8/25 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 15% | 50% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/0 | 6/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 86% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Diallo | |||||
| R1 Manuel |
R2 Molleker |
1/4 Gigante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | 7-65 6-3 | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 22 | 21 | 68 | |
| pts | 87-68 | 66-58 | 71-54 | 224-180 | |
| Total points | 155 | 124 | 125 | 404 | |
| Winners | 38 | 36 | 35 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 55% | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 17 | 14 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 53/84 | 42/57 | 40/60 | 135/201 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 74% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/53 | 36/42 | 35/40 | 109/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 86% | 88% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 10/15 | 12/20 | 39/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 67% | 60% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/6 | 2/4 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLLWLW
LWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Canberra Challenger
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander RitschardRitschard (w/o) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Matteo GiganteGigante (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – David GoffinGoffin (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Diego Hidalgo/Cristian RodriguezHidalgo/Cristian Rodriguez – Timofey Skatov/Denis YevseyevSkatov/Denis Yevseyev (w/o) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander RitschardRitschard (w/o) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Gabriel DialloDiallo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
