Brandon Nakashima and Tristan Schoolkate will play each other in the quarter of the Canberra Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.137
Tristan Schoolkate -> 5.05
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Tristan Schoolkate
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Tristan Schoolkate since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 134, the American reached the quarter after beating Alexandre Muller 5-7 7-67 7-65 and Dino Prizmic 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Prizmic (6-2 6-1). During the match, Nakashima scored 61 points vs Prizmic’s 38. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima bagged 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Brandon Nakashima conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 73% of his first serves in, winning 73% (27/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Prizmic 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nakashima has conceded 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (167-108). 2-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nakashima has a compiled86-57 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Brandon has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Tristan Schoolkate
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-33 | 38-24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-30 | 30-23 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-29 | 24-15 | 17-11 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 8-9 | 3-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2020 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 260, Schoolkate reached the quarter after defeating Casey Hoole 6-3 6-4 and Michael Mmoh 6-74 6-1 7-65.
In the 2nd round against Mmoh, Tristan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-1 7-65). During the match Schoolkate scored 116 points vs Mmoh’s 98. Tristan was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Schoolkate submerged his opponent with 22 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Tristan Schoolkate was very effective on serve to win 85% (50/59) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Mmoh 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Australian has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 52 |
| Pts | 181-163 | 182-152 |
| Total Points | 344 | 334 |
| Winners | 90 | 83 |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% |
Both Nakashima and Schoolkate played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Brandon Nakashima lost 1 set, while Tristan Schoolkate conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Nakashima and Schoolkate have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Nakashima played 1 game more than Schoolkate. Nakashima scored 90 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Schoolkate blasted 83 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 34 |
| Avg per match | 15 | 17 |
| 1st in | 114/175 | 98/164 |
| %1st in | 65% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 90/114 | 83/98 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 28/61 | 35/66 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 53% |
Nakashima scored 30 aces (15 per match). Schoolkate fired 34 aces (17 per match). Nakashima won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Schoolkate won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/20 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 30% | 42% |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 |
| Saved | 8 | 5 |
| % Saved | 80% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Nakashima broke his opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. Nakashima surrendered his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Tristan was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Nakashima | ||||
| R1 Muller |
R2 Prizmic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-67 7-65 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 15 | 53 | |
| pts | 120-125 | 61-38 | 181-163 | |
| Total points | 245 | 99 | 344 | |
| Winners | 63 | 27 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 44% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 20 | 10 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 77/124 | 37/51 | 114/175 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 73% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 63/77 | 27/37 | 90/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 73% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 7/14 | 28/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/10 | 5/10 | 6/20 | |
| Converted % | 10% | 50% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Schoolkate | ||||
| R1 Hoole |
R2 Mmoh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-74 6-1 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 33 | 52 | |
| pts | 66-54 | 116-98 | 182-152 | |
| Total points | 120 | 214 | 334 | |
| Winners | 33 | 50 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 43% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 22 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 39/67 | 59/97 | 98/164 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 61% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 50/59 | 83/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 22/38 | 35/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 58% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/7 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 43% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 1/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
