Gabriel Diallo and Matteo Gigante will face off in the quarter of the Canberra Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:30 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.36
Matteo Gigante -> 2.92
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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Matteo Gigante
This will be the 2nd time that Gabriel Diallo and Matteo Gigante fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Gigante (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Gigante won 6-4 6-4 in the qualifications in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.
Gabriel Diallo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-26 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, Diallo got to the quarter after defeating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-6 6-3 6-0 and Rudolf Molleker 7-65 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Diallo had a good straight sets win against Molleker (7-65 6-3). During the match, Diallo scored 66 points vs Molleker’s 58. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Diallo fired 17 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Gabriel Diallo was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (36/42) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diallo broke Molleker twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Diallo has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Diallo has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (86-50). 2-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Diallo has a compiled42-24 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Diallo has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
Matteo Gigante
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-25 | 27-10 | 11-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-5 | 19-18 | 1-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-20 | 9-1 | 27-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-15 | 2-2 | 16-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 181, Matteo reached the quarter after defeating Edward Winter 6-4 6-4, Matthew Dellavedova 6-1 6-2, Emilio Nava 7-64 4-6 6-3 and Pavle Marinkov 6-1 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Marinkov (6-1 6-0). During the match Gigante scored 53 points vs Marinkov’s 24. Gigante was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about serving, Gigante made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Gigante was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (17/20) of his 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Marinkov 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The Italian has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Canberra Challenger
Gigante has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Diallo | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 80 |
| Pts | 153-126 | 292-207 |
| Total Points | 279 | 499 |
| Winners | 74 | 129 |
| %Winners | 48% | 44% |
Diallo played 2 matches while Gigante competed in 4 matches. Gigante started his run from the qualifications while Diallo had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Gabriel Diallo dropped 1 set, while Matteo Gigante dropped 1 set. Diallo has played 4 set(s) less than Gigante (5 vs 9). Therefore, Diallo played 33 games less than Gigante. Diallo scored 74 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 129 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Diallo | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 12.5 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 95/141 | 159/231 |
| %1st in | 67% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 74/95 | 129/159 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 27/46 | 40/72 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 56% |
Diallo fired 25 aces (12.5 per match). Gigante scored 25 aces (6.3 per match). Diallo won 78% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Gigante won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Diallo | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 15 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 15/27 |
| % Converted | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded | 6 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 12 |
| % Saved | 67% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Diallo broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gabriel lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Gigante broke his opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Diallo | ||||
| R1 Manuel |
R2 Molleker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 22 | 47 | |
| pts | 87-68 | 66-58 | 153-126 | |
| Total points | 155 | 124 | 279 | |
| Winners | 38 | 36 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 55% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 17 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 53/84 | 42/57 | 95/141 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 74% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/53 | 36/42 | 74/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 86% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 10/15 | 27/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 67% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/6 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Gigante | ||||||
| Q1 Winter |
Q3 Dellavedova |
R1 Nava |
R2 Marinkov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | 7-64 4-6 6-3 | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 15 | 32 | 13 | 80 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 67-43 | 105-91 | 53-24 | 292-207 | |
| Total points | 116 | 110 | 196 | 77 | 499 | |
| Winners | 32 | 25 | 55 | 17 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 37% | 52% | 32% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 35/52 | 65/94 | 20/32 | 159/231 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 67% | 69% | 63% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 25/35 | 55/65 | 17/20 | 129/159 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 71% | 85% | 85% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 9/17 | 12/29 | 8/12 | 40/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 53% | 41% | 67% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/8 | 2/4 | 6/9 | 15/27 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 63% | 50% | 67% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 14 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/6 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 184% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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