Mathias Bourgue and Egor Gerasimov will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Oeiras 1 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 5:30 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathias Bourgue who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mathias Bourgue is the pick to win this match.
Mathias Bourgue -> 1.54
Egor Gerasimov -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Mathias Bourgue vs. Egor Gerasimov
This will be the 3rd time that Mathias Bourgue and Egor Gerasimov square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bourgue won 2-6 6-2 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Quimper Challenger back in 2019.
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 278, Bourgue reached the 2nd round after defeating Toby Alex Kodat 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Bourgue had a good straight sets win against Alex Kodat (6-3 6-1). During the match, Bourgue scored 67 points vs Alex Kodat’s 42. Bourgue was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bourgue fired 7 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Mathias Bourgue lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Bourgue put 83% of his first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the 2nd serve. Bourgue broke Alex Kodat 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Bourgue has good record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (304-220). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bourgue has an aggregate 87-55 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The French player has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 1 Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Egor Gerasimov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-25 | 18-15 | 1-3 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-16 | 8-10 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-32 | 5-10 | 2-8 | 14-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-15 | 6-6 | 1-3 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 366, Gerasimov got to the 2nd round after beating Martyn Pawelski 7-64 4-6 6-1, Garrett Johns 1-6 6-3 7-61 and Tiago Pereira 7-65 6-1.
In the 1st round, Gerasimov had a good straight sets win against Pereira (7-65 6-1). During the match Gerasimov scored 74 points vs Pereira’s 55. Egor was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Gerasimov managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Egor Gerasimov was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Egor broke Pereira twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Gerasimov has an aggregate 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bourgue | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 79 |
| Pts | 67-42 | 254-217 |
| Total Points | 109 | 471 |
| Winners | 32 | 116 |
| %Winners | 48% | 46% |
Bourgue played 1 match while Gerasimov competed in 3 matches. Gerasimov started his run from the qualifications while Bourgue had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Egor Gerasimov surrendered 2 sets while Mathias Bourgue hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bourgue has played 6 set(s) less than Gerasimov (2 vs 8). Therefore, Bourgue played 63 games less than Gerasimov. The French player scored 32 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Gerasimov fired 116 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bourgue | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 8.7 |
| 1st in | 48/58 | 153/231 |
| %1st in | 83% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 32/48 | 116/153 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 6/10 | 47/78 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 60% |
Bourgue managed to score 7 aces . Gerasimov scored 26 aces (8.7 per match). Bourgue won 67% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Gerasimov won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bourgue | Gerasimov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 7/13 |
| % Converted | 45% | 54% |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Saved | 7 | 4 |
| % Saved | 88% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Bourgue broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The French player lost his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Belarussian broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bourgue | |||
| R1 Alex |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 67-42 | 67-42 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 48/58 | 48/58 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 83% | |
| 1st pts | 32/48 | 32/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gerasimov | |||||
| Q1 Pawelski |
Q3 Johns |
R1 Pereira |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-1 | 1-6 6-3 7-61 | 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 29 | 20 | 79 | |
| pts | 93-75 | 87-87 | 74-55 | 254-217 | |
| Total points | 168 | 174 | 129 | 471 | |
| Winners | 45 | 42 | 29 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | 39% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 14 | 6 | 6 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 55/81 | 62/93 | 36/57 | 153/231 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 63% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 45/55 | 42/62 | 29/36 | 116/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 68% | 81% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 15/31 | 14/21 | 47/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 48% | 67% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 67% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/8 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLWLLL
WLWLLWLLWL Tennis Scores in Oeiras 1 Challenger
- Gastao EliasElias – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alastair GrayGray – Gabriel DebruDebru (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Aidan MayoMayo (6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Thai KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski – Henrique RochaRocha (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Joao DominguesDomingues – Noah RubinRubin (6-4 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Tiago PereiraPereira (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Michael GeertsGeerts (7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski – Adrian AndreevAndreev (3-6 7-610 6-3) – See score progression
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Charles BroomBroom (6-3 6-71 6-3) – See score progression
- Cem IlkelIlkel – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Tristan LamasineLamasine – Maxime JanvierJanvier (7-63 ret.) – See score progression
- Mathias BourgueBourgue – Toby Alex KodatAlex Kodat (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Michael VrbenskyVrbensky (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Thai KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski – Henrique RochaRocha (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Tiago PereiraPereira (7-6(5) 6-1) – See score progression
- Gastao EliasElias – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Vadym UrsuUrsu – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Michael GeertsGeerts (7-6(6) 6-2) – See score progression
- Alastair GrayGray – Gabriel DebruDebru (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Aidan MayoMayo (6-3 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Joao DominguesDomingues – Noah RubinRubin (6-4 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Paul JubbJubb – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Mathias BourgueBourgue (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cem IlkelIlkel – Gastao EliasElias (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thai KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Tristan LamasineLamasine (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vadym UrsuUrsu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Alastair GrayGray (0-0) – H2H and prediction
