Mateus Alves and Fernando Romboli will play each other in the qualifications of the Brasilia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on QUADRA 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mateus Alves who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mateus Alves is the pick to win this match.
Mateus Alves -> 1.107
Fernando Romboli -> 5.95
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Prediction and head to head Mateus Alves vs. Fernando Romboli
There is no head to head record between Mateus Alves and Fernando Romboli since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Mateus Alves
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-28 | 3-2 | 43-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 4-7 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-15 | 5-1 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-33 | 21-20 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 45-15 | 45-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 442, Alves reached the qualifications after defeating Conner Huertas Del Pino 6-4 7-64.
In the qualifications, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Huertas Del Pino (6-4 7-64). During the match, Alves scored 77 points vs Huertas Del Pino’s 68. The Brazilian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alves recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mateus Alves was quite effective on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 71% (22/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alves broke Huertas Del Pino once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Alves has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (162-116). 3-4 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Alves has a composed81-43 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Mateus’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Mosquera.
The Brazilian has an aggregate 29-25 win-loss record in 2023, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brasilia Challenger
Fernando Romboli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Fernando reached the qualifications after defeating Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 3-6 6-3 7-64.
In the qualifications against Daniel Vallejo, The Brazilian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-64).During the match Romboli scored less points (1) than Daniel Vallejo. In fact, the world no. 442 won 94 points vs Daniel Vallejo’s. That means that Romboli was more focused during the important points. Fernando was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Romboli recorded 14 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Fernando Romboli was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Romboli broke Daniel Vallejo twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Fernando has a compiled 1-1 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alves | Romboli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 31 |
| Pts | 77-68 | 94-95 |
| Total Points | 145 | 189 |
| Winners | 33 | 45 |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% |
Both Alves and Romboli played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Fernando Romboli dropped 1 set while Mateus Alves hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alves has played 1 set(s) less than Romboli (2 vs 3). Therefore, Alves played 8 games less than Romboli. The Brazilian scored 33 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Romboli scored 45 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alves | Romboli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 14 |
| 1st in | 43/74 | 62/101 |
| %1st in | 58% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 45/62 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 22/31 | 22/39 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 56% |
Alves fired 4 aces . Romboli blasted 14 aces . Alves won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Romboli won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alves | Romboli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 2 |
| Converted | 1/3 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 33% | 40% |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Mateus broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Mateus quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. Romboli broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Romboli conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alves | |||
| Q1 Huertas Del Pino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 77-68 | 77-68 | |
| Total points | 145 | 145 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/74 | 43/74 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 33/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/31 | 22/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 1/3 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Romboli | |||
| Q1 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 94-95 | 94-95 | |
| Total points | 189 | 189 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 62/101 | 62/101 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 45/62 | 45/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWLWW
LWLLWLL 
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