Alex Michelsen and Patrick Kypson will clash against each other in the final of the Champaign Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on COURT 1 at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.54
Patrick Kypson -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Patrick Kypson
This will be the 2nd time that Alex Michelsen and Patrick Kypson face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kypson (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Kypson won 4-6 6-3 7-6(5) in the 1st round in the Savannah Challenger back in April 2023.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-29 | 26-13 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99 (career-high), Alex got to the final after defeating Bernard Tomic 6-4 6-0, Sebastian Fanselow 6-3 6-2, Martin Damm 6-1 1-6 6-4 and Titouan Droguet 2-6 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal against Droguet, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Michelsen scored 85 points vs Droguet’s 80. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Michelsen fired 2 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 76% of his first serves in, winning 70% (50/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Droguet twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Michelsen has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Michelsen has a fantastic record in the last 2 years having won 72% of his matches (84-33). 19-3 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michelsen has an overall28-4 match record in the last 2 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he beat Yuta Shimizu in the final 7-5 6-2 and the Knoxville Challenger where he overcame Denis Kudla in the final 7-5 4-6 6-2.
Alex has a composed 61-23 win-loss record in 2023, 19-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Champaign Challenger
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
Patrick Kypson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-21 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 10-11 | 17-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-14 | 13-7 | 2-2 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-11 | 4-2 | 20-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 5-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 239 (career-high), Patrick reached the final after defeating Mark Whitehouse 6-1 7-65, Kenta Miyoshi 6-3 6-1, Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-62 4-6 6-3 and Ethan Quinn 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Quinn (6-4 6-2). During the match Kypson scored 67 points vs Quinn’s 53. Patrick was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Kypson recorded 9 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Patrick Kypson conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Kypson put 70% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Quinn 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Patrick has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Medellin Challenger where he defeated Benjamin Lock in the final 6-3 6-3.
Kypson has an aggregate 37-21 win-loss record in 2023, 10-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Champaign Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 86 |
| Pts | 286-223 | 302-236 |
| Total Points | 509 | 538 |
| Winners | 136 | 143 |
| %Winners | 48% | 47% |
Both Michelsen and Kypson played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen surrendered 2 sets, while Patrick Kypson conceded 1 set. Michelsen has played 1 set more than Kypson (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Michelsen played 2 games less than Kypson. The American scored 136 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Patrick blasted 143 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 44 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 173/245 | 176/270 |
| %1st in | 71% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 136/173 | 143/176 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 39/72 | 50/94 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 53% |
Michelsen managed to score 18 aces (4.5 per match). Kypson made 44 aces (11 per match). Michelsen won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kypson won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/23 | 11/23 |
| % Converted | 52% | 48% |
| Conceded | 13 | 16 |
| Saved | 9 | 15 |
| % Saved | 69% | 94% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Alex broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Kypson broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 94% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | ||||||
| R1 Tomic |
R2 Fanselow |
1/4 Damm |
1/2 Droguet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 1-6 6-4 | 2-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 24 | 27 | 84 | |
| pts | 62-35 | 59-42 | 80-66 | 85-80 | 286-223 | |
| Total points | 97 | 101 | 146 | 165 | 509 | |
| Winners | 21 | 30 | 35 | 50 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 51% | 44% | 59% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 24/42 | 36/48 | 42/62 | 71/93 | 173/245 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 75% | 68% | 76% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 30/36 | 35/42 | 50/71 | 136/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 83% | 83% | 70% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 6/12 | 10/20 | 11/22 | 39/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/4 | 3/9 | 2/3 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 75% | 33% | 67% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 6/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 33% | 75% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Kypson | ||||||
| R1 Whitehouse |
R2 Miyoshi |
1/4 Kovacevic |
1/2 Quinn |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-65 | 6-3 6-1 | 7-62 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 | 32 | 18 | 86 | |
| pts | 70-52 | 58-34 | 107-97 | 67-53 | 302-236 | |
| Total points | 122 | 92 | 204 | 120 | 538 | |
| Winners | 31 | 22 | 60 | 30 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 38% | 56% | 45% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/55 | 27/47 | 74/112 | 39/56 | 176/270 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 57% | 66% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 22/27 | 60/74 | 30/39 | 143/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 81% | 81% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 12/20 | 17/38 | 8/17 | 50/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 60% | 45% | 47% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/6 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 11/12 | 2/2 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 92% | 100% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Patrick KypsonKypson – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
