Mariano Navone and Luciano Darderi will clash against each other in the final of the Lima 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.69
Mariano Navone -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Luciano Darderi
This will be the 2nd time that Mariano Navone and Luciano Darderi square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Navone (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Navone won 2-6 6-4 7-5 in the semifinal in the Buenos Aires Challenger back in October 2023.
Mariano Navone
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-28 | 2-7 | 27-14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 40-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 0-1 | 44-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-8 | 4-2 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126 (career-high), Mariano got to the final after beating Federico Coria 6-4 7-64, Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-3 6-2, Guido Andreozzi 6-2 2-2 ret. and Francisco Comesana 3-6 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal against Comesana, Mariano recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Navone scored 82 points vs Comesana’s 71. Mariano was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Navone was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Mariano Navone lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Navone put 77% of his first serves in, winning 70% (42/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Mariano broke Comesana 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Navone has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Navone has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (190-103). 40-20 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Navone has an overall186-98 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Poznan Challenger where he defeated Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 7-5 6-3 and the Santa Fe Challenger where he defeated Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the final 6-2 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he defeated Francisco Comesana in the final 4-6 7-5 6-1 and the Buenos Aires Challenger where he beat Federico Coria in the final 2-6 6-3 6-4 and the Santa Fe 2 Challenger where he overcame Andrea Pellegrino in the final 3-6 6-2 6-3.
The Argentine has a compiled 40-22 win-loss record in 2023, 40-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lima 2 Challenger
Luciano Darderi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-31 | 1-9 | 34-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-31 | 3-3 | 45-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 0-1 | 37-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 20-6 | 27-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 137 (career-high), Luciano got to the final after beating Kilian Feldbausch 6-4 3-6 7-5, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-2, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-76 6-3 6-0 and Alejandro Tabilo 7-5 4-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, Luciano defeated Tabilo (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match Darderi scored 99 points vs Tabilo’s 86. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Darderi struck 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luciano Darderi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Darderi put 55% of his first serves in, winning 83% (44/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. Luciano broke Tabilo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luciano has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Todi Challenger where he overcame Clement Tabur in the final 6-4 6-7(5) 6-1.
Darderi has a composed 47-30 win-loss record in 2023, 44-26 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lima 2 Challenger
Darderi has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navone | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 108 |
| Pts | 282-235 | 370-310 |
| Total Points | 517 | 680 |
| Winners | 125 | 158 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Both Navone and Darderi played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mariano Navone lost 1 set, while Luciano Darderi surrendered 3 sets. Navone has played 1 set(s) less than Darderi (10 vs 11). Therefore, Navone played 30 games less than Darderi. Navone scored 125 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Darderi managed to score 158 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navone | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 0.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 188/265 | 208/355 |
| %1st in | 71% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 125/188 | 158/208 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 42/77 | 70/147 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 48% |
Navone managed to score 1 ace (0.3 per match). Darderi also recorded 19 aces (4.8 per match). Navone won 66% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Darderi won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navone | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 19 |
| Converted | 15/30 | 19/43 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 15 | 31 |
| Saved | 8 | 20 |
| % Saved | 53% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 11 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. Navone dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 19 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Navone | ||||||
| R1 Coria |
R2 Guillen |
1/4 Andreozzi |
1/2 Comesana |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 2-2 ret. | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 17 | 12 | 26 | 78 | |
| pts | 86-77 | 61-43 | 53-44 | 82-71 | 282-235 | |
| Total points | 163 | 104 | 97 | 153 | 517 | |
| Winners | 37 | 27 | 19 | 42 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 36% | 51% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 59/83 | 42/59 | 27/45 | 60/78 | 188/265 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | 60% | 77% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 37/59 | 27/42 | 19/27 | 42/60 | 125/188 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 64% | 70% | 70% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 12/17 | 11/18 | 8/18 | 42/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 71% | 61% | 44% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/7 | 2/8 | 5/7 | 15/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 25% | 71% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 67% | 100% | 25% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | |
| Darderi | ||||||
| R1 Feldbausch |
R2 Ugo |
1/4 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/2 Tabilo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-76 6-3 6-0 | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 18 | 28 | 31 | 108 | |
| pts | 113-107 | 69-50 | 89-67 | 99-86 | 370-310 | |
| Total points | 220 | 119 | 156 | 185 | 680 | |
| Winners | 41 | 30 | 43 | 44 | 158 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% | 48% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 57/112 | 47/67 | 51/79 | 53/97 | 208/355 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 70% | 65% | 55% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 41/57 | 30/47 | 43/51 | 44/53 | 158/208 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 64% | 84% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/55 | 8/20 | 19/28 | 20/44 | 70/147 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 40% | 68% | 45% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 6/12 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 19/43 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 31 | |
| Saved | 8/13 | 5/8 | 2/2 | 5/8 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 62% | 63% | 100% | 63% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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