Sumit Nagal and Corentin Moutet will play each other in the final of the Helsinki Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Corentin Moutet who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Corentin Moutet is the pick to win this match.
Corentin Moutet -> 1.55
Sumit Nagal -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Corentin Moutet
This will be the 3rd time that Sumit Nagal and Corentin Moutet face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Nagal and Moutet (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Nagal won 6-4 7-5 in the quarter in the Savannah Challenger back in 2019.
Sumit Nagal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-29 | 15-13 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 9-8 | 32-17 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-18 | 0-1 | 16-17 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-26 | 1-4 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 169, the Indian got to the final after defeating Dennis Novak 6-2 6-3, Jakub Mensik 7-5 6-2, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-3 3-1 ret. and Stefano Travaglia 6-1 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Indian had a good straight sets win against Travaglia (6-1 6-4). During the match, Nagal scored 61 points vs Travaglia’s 40. Nagal was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nagal couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Sumit Nagal was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nagal broke Travaglia 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Indian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Nagal has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (297-190). 5-3 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nagal has an overall 8-11 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Rome Challenger where he beat Jesper De Jong in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tampere Challenger where he defeated Dalibor Svrcina in the final 6-4 7-5.
Nagal has a composed 45-26 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Nagal has never competed in this tournament before.
Corentin Moutet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-26 | 4-6 | 22-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 13-6 | 20-8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 8-4 | 5-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-11 | 8-3 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 173, the French player got to the final after defeating Maxime Cressy 6-4 6-2, Antoine Bellier 6-4 6-4, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-2 7-62 and Arthur Rinderknech 5-7 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal against Rinderknech, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-3).During the match Moutet scored less points (1) than Rinderknech. In fact, the world no. 169 won 96 points vs Rinderknech’s. That means that Moutet was more focused during the important points. Moutet was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Moutet made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 66% of his first serves in, winning 64% (43/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. Corentin broke Rinderknech 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Moutet’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Helsinki Challenger.
Corentin has an overall 17-23 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nagal | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 92 |
| Pts | 252-186 | 299-256 |
| Total Points | 438 | 555 |
| Winners | 103 | 133 |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% |
Both Nagal and Moutet played 4 matches. At the moment, Corentin Moutet dropped 1 set while Sumit Nagal hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Nagal and Moutet have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Nagal played 25 games less than Moutet. Sumit scored 103 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin managed to score 133 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nagal | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 147/217 | 190/282 |
| %1st in | 68% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 103/147 | 133/190 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 42/70 | 58/92 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 63% |
Nagal scored 2 aces (0.5 per match). Moutet managed to score 4 aces (1 per match). Nagal won 70% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nagal | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 13 |
| Converted | 16/30 | 13/26 |
| % Converted | 53% | 50% |
| Conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Saved | 8 | 10 |
| % Saved | 73% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
The Indian broke his opponents 16 times with a 53% conversion rate. Sumit dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Moutet broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Corentin conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nagal | ||||||
| R1 Novak |
R2 Mensik |
1/4 Ruusuvuori |
1/2 Travaglia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-3 3-1 ret. | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 13 | 17 | 67 | |
| pts | 63-46 | 79-67 | 49-33 | 61-40 | 252-186 | |
| Total points | 109 | 146 | 82 | 101 | 438 | |
| Winners | 23 | 31 | 20 | 29 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% | 41% | 48% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 30/51 | 52/78 | 28/37 | 37/51 | 147/217 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 67% | 76% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 31/52 | 20/28 | 29/37 | 103/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 60% | 71% | 78% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 14/26 | 8/9 | 10/14 | 42/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 54% | 89% | 71% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/8 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 16/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 63% | 50% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 7/9 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 78% | – | – | 32% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Moutet | ||||||
| R1 Cressy |
R2 Bellier |
1/4 Munar Clar |
1/2 Rinderknech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 7-62 | 5-7 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 21 | 33 | 92 | |
| pts | 63-47 | 70-52 | 70-60 | 96-97 | 299-256 | |
| Total points | 110 | 122 | 130 | 193 | 555 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | 34 | 43 | 133 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 49% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 33/49 | 53/74 | 67/102 | 190/282 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 67% | 72% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/33 | 34/53 | 43/67 | 133/190 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 85% | 64% | 64% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 12/16 | 14/21 | 18/35 | 58/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 75% | 67% | 51% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/9 | 3/4 | 5/7 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 22% | 75% | 71% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 80% | 20% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLLLL
LWWLWWLLLL Tennis Scores in Helsinki Challenger
- N.Sriram Balaji/Andre BegemannBalaji/Andre Begemann – Jeevan Nedunchezhiyan/N. Vijay Sundar PrashanthNedunchezhiyan/N. Vijay Sundar Prashanth (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Sumit NagalNagal (1-1) – H2H and prediction
