Zhe Li and Tatsuma Ito will face off in the qualifications of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on Court 16. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Zhe Li who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Zhe Li is the pick to win this match.
Zhe Li -> 1.59
Tatsuma Ito -> 2.25
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Prediction and head to head Zhe Li vs. Tatsuma Ito
This will be the 3rd time that Zhe Li and Tatsuma Ito play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Li and Ito (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Ito won 3-6 6-1 7-6(9) in the 1st round in Japan F1.
Zhe Li
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26-13 | 26-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-14 | 22-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 36-33 | 35-28 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 531, Li reached the qualifications after defeating Omni Kumar 6-3 7-64.
In the qualifications, Li had a good straight sets win against Kumar (6-3 7-64). During the match, Li scored 69 points vs Kumar’s 58. The Chinese was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Li managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Zhe Li was very effective on serve to win 76% (34/45) of his 1st serve and 76% (19/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Zhe broke Kumar once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Li has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (292-200). 25-12 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Li has a composed 276-171 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Chinese’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Tianjin.
Zhe has a composed 25-12 win-loss record in 2023, 25-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Li has never competed in this tournament before.
Tatsuma Ito
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-18 | 14-14 | 10-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-8 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-23 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 621, the Japanese got to the qualifications after defeating Sanhui Shin 7-64 6-3.
In the qualifications, Ito had a good straight sets win against Shin (7-64 6-3). During the match Ito scored 70 points vs Shin’s 57. Tatsuma was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Ito bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Tatsuma Ito was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Shin twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Tatsuma’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Canberra and M15 Karuizawa.
Ito has a compiled 22-15 win-loss record in 2023, 12-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Li | Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 |
| Pts | 69-58 | 70-57 |
| Total Points | 127 | 127 |
| Winners | 34 | 29 |
| %Winners | 49% | 41% |
Both Li and Ito played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Li and Ito have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (22). Zhe scored 34 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese managed to score 29 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Li | Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 45/70 | 38/65 |
| %1st in | 64% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 29/38 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 19/25 | 17/27 |
| %2nd pts | 76% | 63% |
Li managed to score 3 aces . Ito made 5 aces . Li won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Ito won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Li | Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 2 |
| Converted | 1/2 | 2/6 |
| % Converted | 50% | 33% |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Li broke his opponent once with a 50% conversion rate. Zhe pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Tatsuma broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Ito conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Li | |||
| Q1 Kumar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 69-58 | 69-58 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 45/70 | 45/70 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 34/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/25 | 19/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 76% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 1/2 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Ito | |||
| Q1 Shin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 70-57 | 70-57 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/65 | 38/65 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 29/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 17/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LL 
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