Yan Bai and Hiroki Moriya will play each other in the qualifications of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yan Bai who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yan Bai is the pick to win this match.
Yan Bai -> 1.69
Hiroki Moriya -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Yan Bai vs. Hiroki Moriya
This will be the 3rd time that Yan Bai and Hiroki Moriya play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Bai and Moriya (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Moriya won 7-5 3-0 ret. in the 1st round in the Hua Hin Challenger back in 2015.
Yan Bai
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-16 | 39-15 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-16 | 42-13 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 400, the Chinese reached the qualifications after defeating Ryuki Matsuda 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Matsuda (6-2 6-4). During the match, Bai scored 64 points vs Matsuda’s 47. Yan was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bai made 8 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Yan Bai was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chinese broke Matsuda 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Bai has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (284-150). 41-11 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bai has an aggregate 231-114 record in the last years on hard.
The Chinese’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Tianjin and M25 Guiyang.
Yan has a composed 43-12 win-loss record in 2023, 41-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Yan has never competed in this tournament before.
Hiroki Moriya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-25 | 28-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-28 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-30 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 22-28 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 457, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Gen Nakamura 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, Hiroki had a good straight sets win against Nakamura (6-2 6-4). During the match Moriya scored 64 points vs Nakamura’s 42. Moriya was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Moriya scored 2 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Hiroki Moriya was exceptionally effective on serve to win 88% (23/26) of his 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Nakamura 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Hiroki’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Jakarta and M25 Nakhon Si Thammarat.
Moriya has an overall 27-24 win-loss record in 2023, 27-24 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bai | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 |
| Pts | 64-47 | 64-42 |
| Total Points | 111 | 106 |
| Winners | 22 | 23 |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% |
Both Bai and Moriya played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bai and Moriya have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (18). The Chinese scored 22 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Moriya managed to score 23 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bai | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 2 |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 26/43 |
| %1st in | 57% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 23/26 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 13/17 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 76% |
Bai bagged 8 aces . Moriya bagged 2 aces . Bai won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Moriya won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 76% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bai | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Chinese broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Bai was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. Moriya broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Hiroki was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Bai | |||
| Q1 Matsuda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 64-47 | 64-47 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 28/49 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 22/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Moriya | |||
| Q1 Nakamura |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 64-42 | 64-42 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 26/43 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 23/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/17 | 13/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 76% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWLLWL
LWWWLWWWLW 
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