Novak Djokovic and Grigor Dimitrov will play each other in the final of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 13th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on COURT CENTRAL at 3:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.27
Grigor Dimitrov -> 3.78
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 13th time that Novak Djokovic and Grigor Dimitrov fight against each other. The head to head is 11-1 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Djokovic won 6-3 4-6 6-1 in the 3rd round in Rome back in May 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov – Rome 14-May-2023
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-8 | 10-4 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Serbian reached the final after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-2, Tallon Griekspoor 4-6 7-62 6-4, Holger Rune 7-5 6-73 6-4 and Andrey Rublev 5-7 7-63 7-5.
In the semifinal against Rublev, Djokovic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-63 7-5). During the match, Djokovic scored 117 points vs Rublev’s 113. Djokovic was very aggressive to blast 58 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic fired 17 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (58/79) of his 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Novak broke Rublev twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian has conceded 3 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (538-79). 5-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has a compiled 85-14 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) and at the French Open where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(1) 6-3 7-5 and in Cincinnati where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4) and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3.
Djokovic has an aggregate 50-5 win-loss record in 2023, 5-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-14 | 19-6 | 8-4 | 7-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Grigor got to the final after defeating Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-74 6-3, Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-74 7-62, Alexander Bublik 6-2 6-2, Hubert Hurkacz 6-1 4-6 6-4 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3 6-71 7-63.
In the semifinal, The Bulgarian defeated Tsitsipas (6-3 6-71 7-63). During the match Dimitrov scored 105 points vs Tsitsipas’s 94. Dimitrov was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.
About the serving games, Dimitrov fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (51/65) of his 1st serve and 78% (25/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dimitrov broke Tsitsipas once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dimitrov has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Bulgarian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Geneva.
The Bulgarian has a composed 43-20 win-loss record in 2023, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 122 | 143 |
| Pts | 374-350 | 468-385 |
| Total Points | 724 | 853 |
| Winners | 174 | 218 |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% |
Djokovic played 4 matches while Dimitrov competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic conceded 3 sets, while Grigor Dimitrov surrendered 4 sets. Djokovic has played 3 set(s) less than Dimitrov (11 vs 14). Therefore, Djokovic played 21 games less than Dimitrov. Djokovic scored 174 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Grigor struck 218 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 42 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 10.5 | 6.4 |
| 1st in | 224/367 | 280/423 |
| %1st in | 61% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 174/224 | 218/280 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 81/143 | 85/143 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 59% |
Djokovic fired 42 aces (10.5 per match). Dimitrov struck 32 aces (6.4 per match). Djokovic won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 17 |
| Converted | 11/26 | 17/34 |
| % Converted | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded | 17 | 24 |
| Saved | 11 | 18 |
| % Saved | 65% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Djokovic broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Djokovic lost his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Grigor broke his opponents 17 times with a 50% conversion rate. Grigor conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||||
| R2 Etcheverry |
R3 Griekspoor |
1/4 Rune |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 7-62 6-4 | 7-5 6-73 6-4 | 5-7 7-63 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 35 | 37 | 122 | |
| pts | 58-44 | 102-101 | 97-92 | 117-113 | 374-350 | |
| Total points | 102 | 203 | 189 | 230 | 724 | |
| Winners | 26 | 51 | 39 | 58 | 174 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 32/52 | 66/106 | 47/91 | 79/118 | 224/367 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | 52% | 67% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 51/66 | 39/47 | 58/79 | 174/224 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 77% | 83% | 73% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 18/40 | 28/44 | 23/39 | 81/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 45% | 64% | 59% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 2/8 | 11/26 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | 75% | 25% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/9 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 0% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Dimitrov | |||||||
| R1 Musetti |
R2 Medvedev |
R3 Bublik |
1/4 Hurkacz |
1/2 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-74 6-3 | 6-3 6-74 7-62 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-71 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 35 | 16 | 27 | 35 | 143 | |
| pts | 103-81 | 126-107 | 54-38 | 80-65 | 105-94 | 468-385 | |
| Total points | 184 | 233 | 92 | 145 | 199 | 853 | |
| Winners | 45 | 64 | 18 | 40 | 51 | 218 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 51% | 33% | 50% | 49% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 55/86 | 83/120 | 28/49 | 49/71 | 65/97 | 280/423 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 69% | 57% | 69% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 45/55 | 64/83 | 18/28 | 40/49 | 51/65 | 218/280 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 77% | 64% | 82% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 16/37 | 13/21 | 14/22 | 25/32 | 85/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 43% | 62% | 64% | 78% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/8 | 5/9 | 3/3 | 1/5 | 17/34 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 56% | 100% | 20% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 24 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 9/12 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (11-1) – H2H and prediction
