Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev will face off in the semifinal of the Erste Bank Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.5
Andrey Rublev -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 6th time that Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but Rublev leads 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sinner won 6-2 6-4 in the 4th round in Miami back in March 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev – Miami 28-March-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Jannik got to the semifinal after defeating Ben Shelton 7-62 7-5, Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 6-4 and Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 66 points vs Tiafoe’s 45. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was extremely effective on serve to win 84% (32/38) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Tiafoe twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 70% of his matches (263-112). 10-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a composed77-24 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Montpellier where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3 and in Toronto where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Beijing where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(2) 7-6(2).
Jannik has an aggregate 54-14 win-loss record in 2023, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 16-13 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Andrey got to the semifinal after beating Alexei Popyrin 7-65 6-4, Matteo Arnaldi 7-5 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 6-1 6-75 6-3.
In the quarter, Rublev defeated Zverev (6-1 6-75 6-3). During the match Rublev scored 102 points vs Zverev’s 94. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 55 winners.
About the serving games, Rublev recorded 6 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Andrey Rublev conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 79% (55/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Zverev 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Carlo where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
The Russian has a compiled 53-21 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 73 |
| Pts | 215-167 | 250-221 |
| Total Points | 382 | 471 |
| Winners | 115 | 123 |
| %Winners | 53% | 49% |
Both Sinner and Rublev played 3 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Rublev (6 vs 7). Therefore, Sinner played 11 games less than Rublev. Jannik scored 115 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Andrey bagged 123 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 4.7 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 143/184 | 160/244 |
| %1st in | 78% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 115/143 | 123/160 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 26/41 | 43/84 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 51% |
Sinner made 14 aces (4.7 per match). Rublev managed to score 20 aces (6.7 per match). Sinner won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 9 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 9/26 |
| % Converted | 38% | 35% |
| Conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Saved | 9 | 10 |
| % Saved | 100% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Jannik broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jannik had a solid display on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 9 break points. Rublev broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Andrey conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||
| R1 Shelton |
R2 Sonego |
1/4 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-5 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 18 | 19 | 62 | |
| pts | 80-69 | 69-53 | 66-45 | 215-167 | |
| Total points | 149 | 122 | 111 | 382 | |
| Winners | 48 | 35 | 32 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 60% | 51% | 48% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 57/71 | 48/58 | 38/55 | 143/184 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 83% | 69% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 48/57 | 35/48 | 32/38 | 115/143 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 73% | 84% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 6/10 | 12/17 | 26/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 60% | 71% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 3/7 | 2/4 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 43% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rublev | |||||
| R1 Popyrin |
R2 Arnaldi |
1/4 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-1 6-75 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 21 | 29 | 73 | |
| pts | 74-68 | 74-59 | 102-94 | 250-221 | |
| Total points | 142 | 133 | 196 | 471 | |
| Winners | 33 | 35 | 55 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 47% | 54% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 6 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 48/77 | 42/61 | 70/106 | 160/244 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 69% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 35/42 | 55/70 | 123/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 83% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 12/19 | 16/36 | 43/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 63% | 44% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/9 | 3/10 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 22% | 30% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 1/1 | 6/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 100% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWWLLLLLWW Tennis Scores in Vienna
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (4-6 7-61 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (8-4) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-3) – H2H and prediction
