Mathias Bourgue and Maks Kasnikowski will play each other in the quarter of the Ortisei Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathias Bourgue who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mathias Bourgue is the pick to win this match.
Mathias Bourgue -> 1.53
Maks Kasnikowski -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Mathias Bourgue vs. Maks Kasnikowski
There is no head to head record between Mathias Bourgue and Maks Kasnikowski since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 255, the French player got to the quarter after beating Joao Sousa 6-3 6-76 6-4 and Mark Lajal 3-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Lajal, Bourgue recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Bourgue scored 98 points vs Lajal’s 91. Mathias was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bourgue fired 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mathias Bourgue lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Bourgue put 74% of his first serves in, winning 66% (44/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Lajal 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bourgue has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Bourgue has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (367-239). 14-8 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bourgue has a composed 84-53 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Mathias’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Sabadell.
The French player has an aggregate 42-25 win-loss record in 2023, 14-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Ortisei Challenger
Maks Kasnikowski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-12 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 13-6 | 22-14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-19 | 16-7 | 20-10 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-11 | 7-5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 310, Maks got to the quarter after beating Gauthier Onclin 6-1 6-4 and Michael Geerts 5-7 6-3 7-64.
In the 2nd round against Geerts, The Pole recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 7-64). During the match Kasnikowski scored 96 points vs Geerts’s 86. Kasnikowski was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Kasnikowski blasted 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Maks Kasnikowski was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (48/56) of his 1st serve and 64% (21/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kasnikowski broke Geerts once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maks has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Pole’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir and M15 Kursumlijska Banja.
The Pole has an aggregate 37-22 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bourgue | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 51 |
| Pts | 202-186 | 154-126 |
| Total Points | 388 | 280 |
| Winners | 94 | 77 |
| %Winners | 47% | 50% |
Both Bourgue and Kasnikowski played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mathias Bourgue lost 2 sets, while Maks Kasnikowski conceded 1 set. Bourgue has played 1 set more than Kasnikowski (6 vs 5). Therefore, Bourgue played 8 games more than Kasnikowski. The French player scored 94 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Pole blasted 77 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bourgue | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 7 |
| 1st in | 135/201 | 94/138 |
| %1st in | 67% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 94/135 | 77/94 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 32/66 | 29/44 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 66% |
Bourgue bagged 22 aces (11 per match). Kasnikowski scored 14 aces (7 per match). Bourgue won 70% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Kasnikowski won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bourgue | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 4 |
| Converted | 8/19 | 4/13 |
| % Converted | 42% | 31% |
| Conceded | 16 | 2 |
| Saved | 12 | 1 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Bourgue broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Mathias conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Maks broke his opponents 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Pole conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bourgue | ||||
| R1 Sousa |
R2 Lajal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-76 6-4 | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 27 | 59 | |
| pts | 104-95 | 98-91 | 202-186 | |
| Total points | 199 | 189 | 388 | |
| Winners | 50 | 44 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 9 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 68/110 | 67/91 | 135/201 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 74% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 50/68 | 44/67 | 94/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 66% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/42 | 12/24 | 32/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/9 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 44% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 7/9 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 78% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Kasnikowski | ||||
| R1 Onclin |
R2 Geerts |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 5-7 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 34 | 51 | |
| pts | 58-40 | 96-86 | 154-126 | |
| Total points | 98 | 182 | 280 | |
| Winners | 29 | 48 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 9 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/49 | 56/89 | 94/138 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 63% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 48/56 | 77/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 86% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 21/33 | 29/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 64% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/5 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 20% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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