Aslan Karatsev and Zhizhen Zhang will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Rakuten Japan Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Zhizhen Zhang who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Zhizhen Zhang is the pick to win this match.
Zhizhen Zhang -> 1.89
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Zhizhen Zhang
This will be the 3rd time that Aslan Karatsev and Zhizhen Zhang fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Karatsev and Zhang (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Karatsev won 7-6(3) 6-4 in the quarter in Madrid back in May 2023.
Highlights Aslan Karatsev vs Zhizhen Zhang – Madrid 04-May-2023
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-18 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 50, Aslan reached the 2nd round after defeating Frances Tiafoe 6-3 7-64.
In the 1st round, Karatsev had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-3 7-64). During the match, Karatsev scored 74 points vs Tiafoe’s 68. Aslan was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Karatsev struck 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (37/52) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Aslan broke Tiafoe twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Karatsev has good match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (331-229). 10-9 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Karatsev has an overall 139-73 match record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Pune, Madrid and Zhuhai.
Karatsev has a compiled 29-20 win-loss record in 2023, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Aslan has never competed in this tournament before.
Zhizhen Zhang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-28 | 9-12 | 9-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 12-13 | 15-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 52-28 | 11-5 | 31-11 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-12 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, the Chinese reached the 2nd round after beating Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 6-4 7-64.
In the 1st round against Hurkacz, Zhang recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 7-64). During the match Zhang scored 100 points vs Hurkacz’s 94. Zhang was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Zhang bagged 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Zhizhen Zhang was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Zhang broke Hurkacz 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Zhang’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Hamburg.
Zhizhen has a compiled 30-28 win-loss record in 2023, 12-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 |
| Pts | 74-68 | 100-94 |
| Total Points | 142 | 194 |
| Winners | 37 | 39 |
| %Winners | 50% | 39% |
Both Karatsev and Zhang played 1 match. At the moment, Zhizhen Zhang surrendered 1 set while Aslan Karatsev hasn’t lost a set so far. Karatsev has played 1 set(s) less than Zhang (2 vs 3). Therefore, Karatsev played 10 games less than Zhang. Aslan scored 37 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese made 39 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 10 |
| 1st in | 52/82 | 51/88 |
| %1st in | 63% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 37/52 | 39/51 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 19/37 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 51% |
Karatsev scored 10 aces . Zhang scored 10 aces . Karatsev won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Zhang won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 83% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Karatsev broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Zhizhen broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Zhizhen conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | |||
| R1 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 74-68 | 74-68 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 52/82 | 52/82 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/52 | 37/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 16/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Zhang | |||
| R1 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 100-94 | 100-94 | |
| Total points | 194 | 194 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 51/88 | 51/88 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 39/51 | 39/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 19/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWLW
LLLLLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Ben SheltonShelton – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-75 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christian GarinGarin – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (3-0) – H2H and prediction
