Jessica Pegula and Yue Yuan will play each other in the final of the Hana Bank Korea Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.128
Yue Yuan -> 6.05
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Yue Yuan
This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Yue Yuan square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Pegula won 6-2 6-7(6) 6-0 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Yue Yuan – U.S. Open 03-September-2022
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Jessica got to the final after beating Viktoria Hruncakova 6-2 6-4, Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 6-1, Claire Liu 4-6 6-3 6-0 and Yanina Wickmayer 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Wickmayer (6-4 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 66 points vs Wickmayer’s 53. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jessica Pegula was quite effective on serve to win 71% (25/35) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Wickmayer 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (294-165). 40-11 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an overall 181-89 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Montreal where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-0.
Jessica has a composed 54-17 win-loss record in 2023, 40-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Seoul
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Yue Yuan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-27 | 27-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-29 | 27-17 | 8-7 | 1-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 33-16 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-17 | 6-7 | 3-6 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 128, Yue got to the final after defeating Arianne Hartono 6-1 6-2, Kaja Juvan 6-4 4-1 ret., Marie Bouzkova 7-5 7-67 and Emina Bektas 6-73 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal against Bektas, Yuan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 6-2). During the match Yuan scored 103 points vs Bektas’s 88. The Chinese was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Yuan fired 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Yue Yuan was very efficient on serve to win 74% (37/50) of her 1st serve and 72% (23/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Yuan broke Bektas 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yue has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Yuan’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the W40 Mexico City.
Yuan has an aggregate 29-26 win-loss record in 2023, 15-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 86 |
| Pts | 299-223 | 323-263 |
| Total Points | 522 | 586 |
| Winners | 110 | 107 |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% |
Both Pegula and Yuan played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula lost 1 set, while Yue Yuan lost 1 set. Pegula has played 1 set(s) less than Yuan (9 vs 10). Therefore, Pegula played 8 games less than Yuan. Jessica scored 110 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Yuan managed to score 107 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 147/254 | 143/254 |
| %1st in | 58% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 110/147 | 107/143 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 52/107 | 68/111 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 61% |
Pegula scored 6 aces (1.5 per match). Yuan blasted 13 aces (3.3 per match). Pegula won 75% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Yuan won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 16 |
| Converted | 21/48 | 16/40 |
| % Converted | 44% | 40% |
| Conceded | 22 | 10 |
| Saved | 15 | 5 |
| % Saved | 68% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 5 |
Jessica broke her opponents 21 times with a 44% conversion rate. Pegula dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Yue broke her opponents 16 times with a 40% conversion rate. Yuan conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||||
| R1 Kuzmova |
R2 Krueger |
1/4 Liu |
1/2 Wickmayer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 | 25 | 19 | 78 | |
| pts | 61-40 | 64-40 | 108-90 | 66-53 | 299-223 | |
| Total points | 101 | 104 | 198 | 119 | 522 | |
| Winners | 21 | 22 | 42 | 25 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | 39% | 38% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 24/51 | 28/49 | 60/100 | 35/54 | 147/254 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 57% | 60% | 65% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 22/28 | 42/60 | 25/35 | 110/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 79% | 70% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 11/21 | 16/40 | 11/19 | 52/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | 40% | 58% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/10 | 7/16 | 4/14 | 21/48 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 44% | 29% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 22 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/5 | 9/12 | 2/3 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 80% | 75% | 67% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Yuan | ||||||
| R1 Hartono |
R2 Juvan |
1/4 Bouzkova |
1/2 Bektas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 4-1 ret. | 7-5 7-67 | 6-73 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | 25 | 31 | 86 | |
| pts | 62-39 | 56-41 | 102-95 | 103-88 | 323-263 | |
| Total points | 101 | 97 | 197 | 191 | 586 | |
| Winners | 18 | 21 | 31 | 37 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 38% | 30% | 36% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 23/44 | 24/38 | 46/90 | 50/82 | 143/254 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 63% | 51% | 61% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 21/24 | 31/46 | 37/50 | 107/143 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 88% | 67% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 8/14 | 22/44 | 23/32 | 68/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 57% | 50% | 72% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/8 | 5/16 | 4/8 | 16/40 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 31% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 43% | 50% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Yue YuanYuan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
